Bundesliga matchday 13, Sunday, 08.12.2024 at 15:30
It wasn’t a good start, but now it’s on! In the duel I’m now allowed to devote myself to, two teams face each other who suddenly find themselves in stable series – and these should of course continue. Who will be the favorites in my Wolfsburg Mainz betting tip?
Both teams are now doing very well in our 1st Bundesliga betting tips, with the 05ers curiously much stronger away from home. And yet, in my analysis, I’ll tell you why I’m going for the “double chance 1X” here – with more than 1.5 goals.
Sometimes one wins, sometimes the other, then there’s another draw for years – when Wolfsburg and Mainz meet, you have to be prepared for anything. Logically, history will also find a place in my betting tip.
Word has of course spread to the bookmakers that both teams have suddenly stopped losing. They are taking the classic route and saying that the home team is the favorite. As a result, the Wolfsburg Mainz odds are 2.10 to 3.40.
The Wolves are therefore slightly ahead in my favor, and I certainly believe in one or two goals. Less than two goals? That’s only happened once in this duel on Wolfsburg soil!
The bookmakers’ prediction?
Both teams are stronger away from home – but Wolfsburg have to play at home! Our bookmakers with Apple Pay still see VfL ahead, offering odds of 2.10 for a win.
Mainz are unbeaten in eight away games, not the worst record. In this respect, the team will certainly be able to cope with the odds of 3.40 for being put in the role of the underdog.
The two clubs have already drawn seven times between them, and there have been no winners in this duel 16 times! So you should never completely rule out a draw, with odds of 3.40 it’s worth it anyway.
KI prediction Wolfsburg vs Mainz: ChatGPT
Both are in good shape – so it’s certainly all the more difficult for the AI to pick three hot tips here. Nevertheless, my attention now turns to ChatGPT, because the selected bets are definitely interesting.
For example, the bet “Wolfsburg win to zero” carries a high risk. As the team from Lower Saxony have only scored once at home and Mainz always score away from home, with one exception, I would be extremely cautious here.
In the medium risk area, it means: Both teams will NOT score. Funnily enough, this has been the case in nine of the last twelve games, so this bet could well pay off.
If Wolfsburg scores first, the low-risk betting suggestion would apply. Mainz have not conceded 0-1 in four away games, so perhaps you should be very careful here and think carefully about the betting tip.
Analysis: Wolfsburg Mainz
“It’s possible”, one would like to shout to the teams from Mainz and Wolfsburg! After a stuttering start, both clubs have finally arrived in this 2023/24 season and naturally want to continue their streaks.
VfL Wolfsburg had a lot of bad luck at the start of the season. Whether it was 2:3 against Bayern, 3:4 against Leverkusen or 1:2 against Frankfurt, the performance was right against the top clubs, but unfortunately not the result in the end.
And so it came to pass that they had only won twice in the first nine rounds – and that against Kiel and Bochum, the two worst teams in this 1st Bundesliga.
Five times in the first seven games they scored at least twice in their own box, and the defense made anything but a good impression. When they drew 0-0 against St. Pauli at the end of October, that didn’t improve the mood at first.
Rating Analysis
Mainz are suddenly very secure away from home – after conceding five goals in their first two away games, they have now conceded none at all. I could therefore well imagine that the score will still be 0-0 after 45 minutes. The top provider LeoVegas offers you strong odds of 3.05.
The risk is a little lower if you simply say: It’s a draw at the break, but not necessarily 0:0. The odds now drop to 2.30. Also interesting for you: The very profitable LeoVegas sports betting bonus.
If I had to decide on a result bet, I would end up with 1:1 – so both series simply continue. The odds for this bet are an average of 6.80 – all other outcomes carry a higher risk.
Wolfsburg vs. Mainz: Both love it away!
At the same time, this result should be the start of a series, because it continued like this: 1:1 against Augsburg, 3:1 against Heidenheim, 1:0 against Union Berlin and 5:1 against RB Leipzig – there will be no more losses!
The last time the team was unbeaten for so long was between February and April 2023, will they actually add a sixth match? Now they may finally manage to get on a run at home.
Four of the five wins this season have come away from home, with only a 1-0 win at home against Union Berlin to show for it. The fact that we can now probably expect more three-pointers was recently made clear in the DFB Cup.
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Wolfsburg are getting stronger at home!
The Wolves won the round of 16 against Hoffenheim 3:0. Three times at least three goals in the last four competitive matches, that’s really something to be proud of.
2:3, 1:2, 2:2, 2:4 – the first four home games of the season were a flood of goals conceded. Recently things have calmed down considerably, after the 1:1 against Augsburg there was the 1:0 against Union.
So it’s fair to say that the offense has to take a back seat so that the defense is more secure. Last season, Wolfsburg picked up just one point against Mainz, despite winning three games to nil
Six draws in a row, four wins to nil, two defeats with five goals conceded, three wins to nil? Prior to the 2023/24 season, both teams – and I’m speaking from Wolfsburg’s point of view – were always alternating series.
Of course, it’s all the more difficult to pick a favorite. Mainz 05 are basically playing an almost identical round to the Wolves, they also started with two wins from their first nine games.
First two draws, then three wins in a row? It’s a familiar story in the Autostadt! 3:1 against Dortmund, 3:0 against Kiel and 2:0 against Hoffenheim, the victories were clear and had plenty of goals to offer.
In fact, the 05ers have already scored five trebles! It may be a risky bet, but if you like risk, you can bet on “over 2.5 goals” on Sunday. The odds for this at Betano are 6.10!
However, an “Over 1.5 goals” alone would be absolutely worthwhile, as the value here is 2.65. Perhaps I should also mention at this point that four of these five trebles have been scored away from home.
The Rheinhessen have loved away games from the outset and are unbeaten in nine games this season. Augsburg, St. Pauli and Kiel? Admittedly, the three teams they have beaten so far are not exactly far ahead.
Of course, it is also worth mentioning that the Reds have not conceded a goal away from home in three matches – in Stuttgart, they started more than badly with three goals conceded.
Of course, I have to mention Jonathan Burkardt separately. He has scored four goals in the last three games, has nine in total and has already scored a brace three times. Important: Burkardt also scored in Mainz’s recent 3:1 win over Wolfsburg!
My Wolfsburg Mainz tip:
Neither team is losing anymore, both are in winning streaks! Wolfsburg and Mainz should play a more than interesting game on Sunday, in which it was incredibly difficult for me to find a favorite.
Of course, I know how strong Mainz are away from home and that the Wolves have some catching up to do at home. But the 3-0 win in the DFB Cup impressed me all the more. It was also one of the main reasons why I opted for the “Double Chance 1X”.
Offensively, VfL have really caught up, but on the other hand, Mainz love scoring goals away from home – with several trebles included! Ultimately, my tip is:
Wolfsburg will score over 1.5 goals!
