Ukraine – Iceland Tip World Cup Qualifiers, Group D, Matchday 6, 16/11/2025 at 18:00
Who will ever be able to forget the first leg? A memorable 8-goal game, in which the Eastern Europeans handed out two more goals than they had to concede themselves.
Now, a good month later, things could be similarly turbulent. Especially since the table situation forces the “yellow-blues” to reach for the crowbar if necessary in the event of an imminent draw.
Many compatriots are expected in Warsaw, Poland, and after I have intensively dealt with the odds of the best sports betting providers, my Ukraine Iceland tip is fixed!
The short version: UKR remains in the race for the 2026 World Cup, but does not get away without conceding a goal even in the 13th international match in a row!
Ukraine vs. Iceland AI Predictions:
Our independent Ukraine Iceland AI forecast has made its own guesses as to which scenarios have better chances of success and which are less so.
Meanwhile, I can get a lot out of the suggestion over 3.5 goals. This is a really good tip, especially at odds of currently 3.75 on the beginner-friendly Interwetten app.
Not only because a draw is simply of no use to the Ukrainians, but because the Icelanders have already seen this imaginary goal mark cracked in 3 of their last 5 international matches.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Ukraine |
Draw |
Victory Iceland |
| 56.4% |
25.6% |
18% |
Ukraine scores in both halves turns one euro stake into about exactly three and is one of those special Bet365 sportsbooks that I wouldn’t miss if I were you.
And yes, precisely because they lost 4-0 to France a few days ago, they will be much more combative against Iceland this time. UKR certainly has the potential to do so!
Besides, no one expected them to exhaust themselves in a hopeless game against the overpowering French. All her attention has been on the final against Iceland for weeks.
1st half: Strictly speaking, scoring both is another good suggestion from our Ukraine Iceland AI prediction. But in fact, I myself have dealt with this promising betting scenario well in advance.
The odds of an average of 5.50 in the event of success are simply fantastic, given the fact that it was already 3-1 for Ukraine at the change of sides in the first leg.
What you need to know about Ukraine vs. Iceland betting
- The combined xG value of both teams was 1.98 in the first leg, but a total of 8 goals were scored.
- Each of the last five international matches that Ukraine has won has always been accompanied by goals conceded.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 matches in which UKR has been involved.
- Ukraine has lost only 1 of its 6 international matches against Iceland so far.



