Bundesliga match day 16, Sunday, 12/01/2025 at 5:30 pm
A double-digit place after the shortened first half of the season? That’s not exactly what a runner-up expects from our Bundesliga tips! There is a lot of dissatisfaction in the south of Germany, where they probably know that being the favorite doesn’t automatically come with my Augsburg VfB Stuttgart tip.
The mood at FCA before Christmas was not exactly great either, because if you lose 5-1 to the promoted team from Kiel, there are bound to be some problems. In this respect, I would say that the concentrated self-confidence will not be on the pitch on Sunday.
Since I haven’t seen the Stuttgart team as particularly strong away from home and the Fuggerstadt team feel much more comfortable at home, I think it’s obvious to go for the double chance 1X here.
Of course, I have looked up some facts from both the present and the past that could prove why the home side should get a point. What both clubs have in common: they have their problems with defending.
I am almost certain of one thing: there will be no chance of boredom in the WWK Arena. Will it be a 1-1, a 4-4 or a 4-3? Anything seems possible in this game!
What are the betting companies predicting?
Four wins for Augsburg, six for Stuttgart? No, neither team finished this first half of the season on a high. Since the Bavarian Swabians have only won one of the last eight direct duels, it is no wonder that the odds are estimated at 3.65.
At VfB Stuttgart, we would be at an average of 2.00. However, you should know this: this bet is not completely risk-free, because the guests from the Neckar have only managed two successes away from home.
A draw wouldn’t really help either side, but it’s interesting to note that there have only been two draws between the two teams in the Bundesliga 1st division. The bookies are unimpressed by this, with a draw on Sunday being a classic 3.55.
AI prediction Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart: That’s what ChatGPT tips for
How does ChatGPT deal with the fact that all teams have now had a bit of a break and thus lost their rhythm (which for some is only good)? In any case, the AI has come up with three very interesting betting suggestions.
This time, we were entrusted with a high-risk outcome bet, so I’ll suggest a 1-1. Both clubs played 1-1 exactly once in 2024/25. Since Augsburg concede a lot of goals, I would probably go for a 2-2 if we want to stay at a draw.
If more than 3.5 goals are scored, the AI will place an over/under bet. In my opinion, this is definitely realistic. Since both teams don’t tend to play to zero very often, many goals are within the realm of possibility.
It’s easy to back the BTS outright. Two clean sheets on both sides means that both clubs are likely to score.
Analysis: Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart
First it was a phenomenal year for VfB Stuttgart, then a puzzling one. In May, the team deservedly secured second place in the league, inspiring the whole of Germany – and that was shortly after the relegation battle!
Accordingly, by the summer, most people were already realizing that this was unlikely to be repeated. No sooner said than done: the Swabians went into the Christmas break in tenth place.
And that with a really unsuccessful, uninspired performance, because at home, where Stuttgart is actually so strong, there was suddenly a 0-1 defeat against St. Pauli. It was the fourth defeat of the season, but at least they never suffered the double whammy.
3:3, 2:1, 2:0? With these strong results, VfB came back after the first three defeats. But: These victories were all achieved at home, now the team has to play away.
Odds analysis
The FCA have already conceded nine times in the first 45 minutes, but unfortunately for their opponents! The Bavarian Swabians are very vulnerable defensively, so you can bet that Stuttgart will score in the first half. At Betano, you are offered odds of 1.80 for this.
Stuttgart have not won in the first game of the new year for five matches, while Augsburg have not won three times. Based on this statistic, you can simply say: let’s take the draw! After registering with Bet365, there are odds of 3.60 on offer.
By the way, at Bet365 you should definitely keep an eye on the strong offer code. Simply enter “VIPANGEBOT” to get up to 100 euros in betting credits in January.
For Ermedin Demirovic, returning to his former club is of course something very special. Stuttgart’s top striker will be suitably motivated, I think he is particularly likely to score. With odds of 2.50, this bet also looks profitable.
Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: The defense lines in focus
One of the problems is away from home. Stuttgart was already significantly weaker away from home last season; currently, the club has two wins, three draws and two defeats.
Even defending doesn’t work as well as it did in 2023/24. Leverkusen and Bochum, exactly twice were played to zero. The fact that a successful start to a new year cannot be taken for granted is something that the Neckar team also knows only too well.
They have not managed to start the year with a win five times in a row! Two points is, of course, a slim margin. With four wins and one draw, at least the most recent head-to-head against Augsburg looks good.
Who is more insecure?
What has never worked in the Bundesliga: winning twice in a row on Augsburg soil. So it’s a bit unfortunate that there was a 1-0 win recently!
So much for the historical context, which has given FC Augsburg both positive and negative facts. The Fuggerstadt team experienced a very restless Christmas, having lost 5-1 in Kiel just a few days before!
For the first time since September, they suffered two defeats in a row, after previously getting nothing for their efforts in the 2-0 defeat to Leverkusen. All four wins this season have come at home, so it’s clear that they prefer to play here.
When they conceded one of the two home defeats in September, they followed it up with a 2-1 win in the next home match. An interesting result, if you want to place the corresponding result bet at Bet365, you are offered odds of 13.0 for it.
Of course, Augsburg know that they often lose games right after the final whistle. They have conceded nine goals in the first 15 minutes, while Stuttgart have only conceded one in this period.
With only 27 big chances created (joint 18th in this table with Union Berlin), Augsburg have to step it up in many respects this year.
Incidentally, Ruben Vargas will not be able to play on Sunday. Sevilla snatched him up, but since the Swiss player has not scored a single goal this season, his ex-club should be able to compensate for his departure.
My Augsburg Stuttgart betting tip:
It’s a Bavarian-Swabian derby that awaits us on Sunday! FC Augsburg went into the winter break just as dissatisfied as VfB Stuttgart, with both teams facing defensive problems.
So now I have to decide where the insecurity is greater. The Swabians always have a hard time at the start of a new year and are also not safe away from home. Therefore, there are minimal advantages that I see with the hosts.
Augsburg can play really well in their own stadium, not for nothing did Bayern lose here a few times in the last few years. So, in summary, I have decided on the following tip:
Augsburg will not lose against Stuttgart!
