Bodø/Glimt – Monaco Prediction Champions League, Matchday 4 on Tuesday, 11/04/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
If you’re looking for above-average winnings at your favorite sports betting provider and need some inspiration, then you should listen to me! My Bodö/Glimt Monaco tip is based on a lot of action – and above all, goals, goals, goals!
Both teams go all out on the attack, and you can see that in the statistics. In 5 of the 6 games played by these two teams in the UCL league phase, there were over 3.5 goals to marvel at – only Monaco’s 0-0 draw against Tottenham was the exception.
In addition, according to our internal data model, the combined xG value on Tuesday will theoretically be 3.33, although in practice I expect there to be one or two additional goals!
So it looks like it will be an open battle in which no one will be satisfied with a 0-0 draw – least of all the regular visitors to Aspmyra Stadium, who are always spoiled by their favorite team.
Actually, I’m more interested in current offers such as the Betano promo code than in stories from long ago – but in the context of this duel, some facts are simply too exciting to keep from you completely.
Did you know, for example, that this is the first meeting between a Norwegian and a French club in the Champions League in almost two decades?
Back then, on December 6, 2005, Rosenborg lost 2-1 to Lyon – the last chapter in this rare soccer constellation to date.
Bodö/Glimt – Monaco Prediction & Bets
One more to go, one more to go – that’s roughly my overall betting slogan for my personal Bodö/Glimt Monaco prediction.
I’m in favor of both the Over 4.5 goals selection and Monaco: Over 1.5 goals, which promise odds of 3.60 and 1.93 respectively – depending on the betting app used.
It should be entertaining at the Arctic Circle – and even if the Norwegians create chances themselves, that doesn’t mean their defense won’t concede anything.
My promising tip for a double from the Monegasques is based on the observation that the Yellow Horde has conceded at least two goals per 90 minutes in their last six European Cup games.
What you need to know about Bodö/Glimt vs. Monaco betting
- Only Royale Saint-Gilloise (9.83 xGA) has conceded more expected goals than Bodö/Glimt (9.31 xGA) after three CL matchdays.
- Monaco had five big chances on matchday 3, Tottenham only one; 2.45 xG was not enough for a goal (0-0).
- Nikita Haikin (Bodö/Glimt) has the most “goals prevented” (3.3) and 18 saves after three games.
- Since three consecutive wins between March and April 2017, Monaco has won only once in 27 CL games (4 wins, 7 draws, 16 losses).
- Monaco has drawn three of its last four CL games (L1); only once before drawing three times in a row (1997/98).
- Only Atalanta (-4.1) and Slavia Prague (-2.8) have missed their expected goals more than Monaco (-2.4, 3 goals from 5.4 xG) in this CL season.
Bodö/Glimt – Monaco: AI tip & odds analysis
Our Bodö/Glimt Monaco AI prediction is also optimistic about an entertaining game with several goals.
However, our digital betting focuses on different types of bets than I do – goals in both halves at odds of around 1.50, for example.
The selection 1st half: Both teams to score at slightly higher odds of 3.10 is also very popular. While I can get excited about both suggestions, I am particularly fond of the second pick.
Our data-fed AI model and I agree: there will be plenty of goals, but who will score them?
Jens Petter Hauge at odds of around 4.20 makes a lot of sense as a goal bet – especially since he could “once again” receive an assist from Hakon Evjen.
That was already the script for the Norwegians’ two Champions League goals scored at Aspmyra Stadium in 2025/26: Evjen set up the play twice and Hauge finished coolly!
The best odds for Bodø/Glimt vs. Monaco
If you bet on Bodø/Glimt on your betting slip, the bookmakers are offering an average of 2.30 – not bad for the only Scandinavian team that always manages to surprise on the international stage.
In percentage terms, this corresponds to a probability of success of around 43-44 percent, so it’s not a sure thing, but it’s not a blind leap either.
A draw is listed at 3.60. This reflects the uncertainty that one feels in a match between a clever underdog and a strong French club. The probability of this happening is around 25-26 percent.
Monaco, meanwhile, is the underdog at around 2.80, but only slightly. That means there is about a 35 percent chance that the French will take all 3 points in the end!
The Bodö/Glimt Monaco odds suggest a closely contested match, where you can cover everything from a clever home team win to a classic away win to a possible draw!
Bodö/Glimt vs Monaco match analysis:
You can imagine that the Norwegians will give their all to make a statement and uphold national pride.
Historically, Norwegians have had a pretty poor record against French teams: out of ten matches, there has been only one victory – Rosenborg against PSG in 2000.
Bodö/Glimt will definitely want to make their mark offensively, with quick combinations and bold attacks, but defensively things look problematic.
After three Champions League games, only Royale Saint-Gilloise have conceded more expected goals than the Norwegians – 9.31 xGA speaks for itself.
Monaco have shown that they have real quality in attack. If they managed to score twice against Manchester City, then it’s clear that two goals against Bodö/Glimt are absolutely feasible.
The French will take advantage of their chances as soon as the Norwegians leave themselves open at the back. The game could therefore be a back-and-forth affair, but with Monaco having a slight advantage in terms of goal threat.
So you can expect a fast-paced match with Bodö/Glimt on the attack and dangerous counterattacks from Monaco.
Bodö/Glimt form check
After a perfect start to the Norwegian league with four wins from four games, Bodö/Glimt suffered a minor setback at the weekend: the 1-3 defeat to Valerenga knocked them off their stride and shook their lead at the top of the table.
This defeat comes at an unfortunate time, as things have not been going well in the Champions League either.
After three matchdays, the team is still without a win (two draws, one defeat), most recently suffering a clear 1-3 defeat to Galatasaray.
The defense is particularly problematic: in their last six European Cup games, they have conceded 2+ goals every time – a seventh consecutive defeat would even mean a negative club record.
Despite their offensive strength and quick transitions, the team currently seems unsettled. Coach Kjetil Knutsen must now find the right balance between attacking spirit and stability to avoid running into trouble again.
In terms of injuries, there is at least no long list of absentees, but with the absence of defender Haitam Aleesami, the defense loses an important pillar.
This loss is particularly noticeable against strong opponents. If Bodö/Glimt does not quickly get its weaknesses at the back under control, the next disappointment on the international stage looms.
Monaco form check
Monaco is also struggling with a minor results crisis at the moment. The team is still waiting for its first win in the Champions League (two draws, one defeat) and, despite clearly dominating Tottenham, could not manage more than a 0-0 draw.
Things aren’t going perfectly in the league either: the unexpected 0-1 defeat to Paris FC has left Monaco four points behind the top of the table.
Sebastien Pocognoli’s team plays attractive football at times, but has problems converting its chances – a pattern that has been evident for weeks now. Added to this is a run of six games without a win in the Champions League (three draws, three defeats).
And as if that weren’t enough, Monaco are currently plagued by injury worries. Up to seven regulars could be out, including Eric Dier, Denis Zakaria, and Lamine Camara – all key figures for stability and strength in challenges.
This naturally makes any tactical adjustments more difficult. With this personnel situation and the current rather shaky form, the pressure is high. Monaco urgently needs a breakthrough, otherwise the promotion zone threatens to slip out of reach early on.
Nevertheless, the quality and potential are there – all that’s missing is the moment when everything clicks into place again.
