Bologna – Dortmund Betting Tip, AI Prediction & Odds 01/21/2025

Champions League, Tuesday, 01/21/2025 at 9:00 p.m.

Nuri Sahin is under a lot of pressure at the moment. Expectations are high for Borussia Dortmund and after a series of disappointing results, his position as a coach is increasingly being questioned.

Another defeat against Bologna on the 7th matchday of the Champions League would not only fuel the existing discontent, but could also potentially mean the end of Sahin’s collaboration with BVB.

The team has repeatedly shown weaknesses this season, especially in difficult away games. And it is precisely these weaknesses that could also become apparent at the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on Tuesday.

Despite the clear favoritism of Borussia, I assume in my Bologna Dortmund tip that the black and yellows could actually leave two points in the medieval city.

For Bologna, however, it is no longer important! That is a point from which Dortmund could benefit.

Incidentally, Bologna and Borussia Dortmund have never played against each other in a European competition before, while the Italian side played their only two meetings with a German team in the 1970/71 Cup Winners’ Cup against Vorwärts Berlin.

I can’t quite imagine the “Rossoblù” winning on Tuesday in my Bologna Dortmund tip, but they will at least sell themselves dearly in front of their home crowd!

Meanwhile, the Interwetten free bet will not be “sold” to you, as the offer in question is available to every adult resident of Germany free of charge!

The bookmakers’ forecast

With Bologna Dortmund odds of 3.65 on average for a win by the Italians and a very similar odds of 3.70 for a draw, it can be seen that the game is considered to be quite even.

But Dortmund seems to be the favorite in this match – because the relatively lower odds of 1.95 on average for a win by the guests underlines this assumption.

It will therefore be exciting to see whether BVB can actually confirm their favorite status or whether the “Rossoblù” can at least win their last Champions League home game for the time being.

KI prediction Bologna vs Dortmund: That’s what ChatGPT tips

The Bologna Dortmund AI prediction that ChatGPT made for me on request includes three betting suggestions of varying risk, which I will now examine in more detail for you.

High risk: “1:1 result bet” – This prediction is interesting because it offers a good risk-reward ratio.

If Dortmund is not at its best, a draw with few goals could well be realistic, and the odds of around 5.75 traded on average offer an attractive betting incentive!

Medium risk: “Under 2.5 goals” – I rate this bet as a 50:50 proposition, with odds just under 2.00 appearing fair. While there is no high value, there is also no negative expected value, making it a solid, if not particularly profitable choice.

Low risk: “Draw-No-Bet Dortmund” – This betting suggestion from ChatGPT at odds of 1.45 on average is classified by me as safe, because a victory for Bologna just doesn’t seem realistic.

However, this bet means that if the game ends in a draw, you will only get back the stake.

Analysis: Bologna vs Dortmund

As if my betting friend Isabella had guessed it in her successful Frankfurt vs. Dortmund tip, SGE was indeed able to win 2-0!

But in fact, I don’t think anyone in our editorial office would have bet on Dortmund winning in their current form.

Before that, BVB seemed dazed and not quite focused, even against Kiel. Although almost all of the key players who were ill with flu have now recovered, it will take weeks before they can catch up on the training backlog.

Dortmund have now suffered three defeats in a row in competitive matches, but, unlike their upcoming opponents, they still have a good reason to give their all on Tuesday.

Dortmund can still secure a place in the top 8 and thus bypass the Champions League second round. That would be a welcome “competition shortcut” as it would avoid two exhausting knockout games.

Bologna, on the other hand, are still winless and have already been eliminated, as there is no longer any chance of even finishing in 24th place.

Nevertheless, the “Rossoblu” are currently quite capable of putting up resistance against top teams, as they have been able to prevent both Roma (2:2) and Inter (2:2) from winning in Serie A since New Year.

Odds Analysis

I am happy to revisit the supposedly high-risk tip from the Bologna-Dortmund AI prediction at this point: a 1-1 result tip is simply a great suggestion.

But if that’s too much of a risk for you, you can also try a general draw bet, as I also really like the odds of about 3.70 that are traded for it.

Actually, I would recommend you to bet on almost anything except a pure BVB win, because in this case, the odds of 1.88 do not seem high enough to me.

After all, BVB under Nuri Sahin has only won 2 of their last 11 competitive away games.

As I said: I estimate the probability of a draw at around 60% and thus higher than that of an away win for Borussia.

Bologna vs. Dortmund odds: usually strong in the preliminary round!

I don’t trust this Borussia under Sahin, I’ll be quite clear about that. However, data analysts would not be averse to an away win bet.

Because Borussia Dortmund has only lost three of the last 16 games in the group or league phase of the Champions League (8 wins, 5 draws).

Meanwhile, BVB lost their last UCL appearance against Barcelona recently 2-3.

BUT: They have not suffered consecutive defeats in this competition since a run of three defeats between October and November 2021.

However, you can take advantage of the new customer bonus from Bet365. Click on the graphic to reveal the bonus code and use it when registering to get your hands on up to 100 euros in betting credits.

Bologna are far too harmless offensively!

Even if Borussia Dortmund can’t find their feet, it’s hard to imagine Bologna building up massive pressure on their way forward.

The Italians are having a tough time in the Champions League, which is particularly evident in their goal difference.

Bologna is the only team this season not to have scored a single goal from open play – despite 46 shots.

Their only goal of the 2024/25 season so far came from a Jhon Lucumí free-kick against Lille. This lack of firepower could make it easy for Dortmund to control the game, even if they are not at their best right now.

The likelihood of a goalless draw should not be underestimated either. Bologna have already drawn two goalless draws in the Champions League this season, including one against Benfica in their last game.

A 0-0 scoreline would definitely be a realistic result if you consider the visitors’ offensive weaknesses and Dortmund’s own inconsistencies.

Incidentally, a look at history shows that 2015/16 was the last season in which teams like Atlético Madrid and PSV Eindhoven each scored three goalless draws in this competition – a trend that could well be repeated on Tuesday.

On the other hand, it is worth noting that Borussia Dortmund have scored more goals in the second half of matches in this edition of the Champions League, in 83% of cases.

This suggests that the team could need something in the first 45 minutes to get into their game – especially given their current run of poor form!

But thanks to a reliable striker like Serhou Guirassy, who scores every 67 minutes on average in this competition, a late acceleration could possibly bring the decision for BVB.

My Bologna Dortmund Tip:

Given the current form of both teams and the trends in their previous games, I think a tip on a draw at half time could well happen.

Of course, Dortmund needs the win more, but could get in its own way and have problems playing its game again.

Maybe it will be Serhou Guirassy who pulls BVB out of the fire in the end, but I wouldn’t want to bet on it.

My Bologna Dortmund tip therefore prefers to build a safety precaution into my football bet: Double chance X2 & Under 3.5 goals.

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