BVB – Darmstadt 98 betting tip
The 34th matchday of the 2023/24 season is here! While a number of decisions have already been made, a few others are still to come. At the same time, of course, there are also matches in this round where nothing is at stake, i.e. those for the golden pineapple.
The match between Borussia Dortmund and Darmstadt 98 falls into precisely this category. BVB will finish the season in fifth place and have secured their ticket to the Champions League. The Lilies, on the other hand, have long been planning for the Bundesliga 2.
In this respect, it’s fair to say that Champions League finalists Dortmund will host bottom-of-the-table Darmstadt, with David traveling to Goliath. Everyone is expecting a clear victory for the home side, but how much is Borussia already thinking about the big final two weeks later?
As is so often the case, the truth lies on the pitch. But even the boldest optimists among our bookmakers can’t imagine that the Hessians will suddenly win again, and the odds are accordingly 1.20 to 13.0.
In my BVB Darmstadt betting tip, I will now try to correctly assess the motivation of both clubs. Since I believe that a little concentration will be lost due to the lack of sporting significance, I say: Both will score!
The prediction of the bookmakers?
A home win against the relegated team? That should be feasible for Dortmund, regardless of the personnel. The odds at all betting providers fall short of profitable values, averaging a mere 1.15. If you are still interested in this bet, you should definitely rely on a sports betting bonus.
Darmstadt have managed a measly three wins this season, two of them away from home. It is therefore no wonder that a fourth win hardly seems possible, as the odds of 13.0 make clear.
A draw is just as hard to imagine. BVB did share the points against Heidenheim, the other promoted team, but the odds for a draw are more than low at 8.00.
Analysis: Dortmund vs Darmstadt
The minimum goal of Champions League qualification has been achieved. How? Definitely more bad than good! Borussia Dortmund will finish the season in fifth place and, for once, this place can also celebrate participation in the top flight.
For the first time since the departure of Jürgen Klopp in 2015, BVB will not finish a season in the top four, but they have managed to qualify for the CL for the ninth time in a row
Apropos CL: This is, of course, the highlight for all those who have a soft spot for black and yellow. Borussia will play the final against Real Madrid in London on June 1st, so a league match against Darmstadt is obviously not quite as important!
After reaching the final, Dortmund quickly incurred the wrath of Berlin, Cologne and Bochum. Why? Because they were crushed 3-0 in Mainz and could easily have lost by a greater margin!
Analysis of odds
A Dortmund win is self-explanatory for me, but how clear do the hosts make it? Since Darmstadt are clearly inferior in all respects, I would recommend a 0:2 handicap here, which comes to odds of 2.05.
With 82 goals conceded, the Lilies have an incredibly weak defense. All in all, I can therefore well imagine that a lot of goals will be scored on Saturday and I’m offering the prospect of “over 3.5 goals” at odds of 1.60.
In the end, I also looked for a suitable result bet at Bet365, because you can quickly create an account with this bookmaker and benefit from the odds of 12.0, which my choice, 4:1, brings with it
Who can motivate themselves one last time?
Dortmund have won just one of their last four matches and two of their last six. Augsburg and Gladbach have been beaten in this period, neither of which are among the best.
Dortmund are also good for the odd slip-up in their own stadium. Nine wins in 16 home games? These statistics have looked much more impressive in recent years!
Hoffenheim, Mainz and Heidenheim were not the only top teams to win at Signal Iduna Park. But now, from a purely sporting point of view, there’s nothing at stake
Is Darmstadt going down completely?
How will it affect the team that they have only won one of their last four matches against promoted teams at home? After all, this is offset by the fact that they have netted in 19 such games.
The first half of the season saw a solid 3-0 win at the Böllenfalltor, while the last time Dortmund played Darmstadt at home, in September 2016, the fans were treated to a wild 6-0 scoreline.
There is therefore no meaningful direct comparison, but from Darmstadt’s point of view, they would probably have liked there to be at least something historic that could spring a small surprise on Saturday
It’s been clear for weeks: The Lilies have no place in the Bundesliga 1 for the time being and will return to the second tier in 2024/25. The relegation is neither unfortunate nor close, but anyone who only wins three out of 33 games has lost nothing in the top flight.
There have been 82 goals conceded, nobody has conceded more. In this millennium, only one team has managed to concede more: Schalke three years ago with 86.
Four goals conceded against BVB, or even five, to tie the record? That should be possible, after all they conceded six against Hoffenheim recently. The players are longing for the break and can’t seem to motivate themselves anymore
14 times the Hessians have conceded three or more goals, but unfortunately there have also been 16 games in which they have failed to score a single goal of their own. No question, Darmstadt have lost nothing in this 1st Bundesliga.
However, Darmstadt may even have saved one “record” for the last game of the season, namely the fact that they could have conceded four defeats in a row for the first time.
As if the statistics weren’t bad enough already, central defender Jannik Müller is also missing this weekend due to a yellow card suspension. Whether he alone could have contributed to more self-confidence, however, is doubtful given the weak stats
My BVB Darmstadt tip:
Fifth place for Dortmund, 18th place for Darmstadt – but they still have to play! BVB will play the Champions League final in just over two weeks, so the last matchday of the Bundesliga naturally loses relevance.
Borussia haven’t really been that good at home to promoted teams in recent years, especially as they completely gave away their last match against Mainz. But do Darmstadt really have what it takes to surprise here?
To be honest, I can’t really imagine that. But since Dortmund, as already mentioned, no longer have any sporting motivation, I can well imagine that a relatively close game awaits us. My prediction is therefore logical:
Both teams score!
