Hoffenheim – Bayern betting tip
Season finale in the Bundesliga. On Saturday, all 18 teams get down to business once again at 3:30 pm. The conference with nine games should definitely not be boring, especially when it comes to duels like Hoffenheim against Bayern.
In my opinion, goals en masse are pre-programmed. In the first leg, both teams were already in the thick of the action, although only the record champions were able to reward themselves. There is still something at stake for both teams.
Bayern want to secure the runners-up spot ahead of southern German rivals Stuttgart, while Hoffenheim are fighting for a coveted European Cup place. It is not yet certain whether they will make it into the Europa League or the Conference League. I’m heading for over 3.5 goals from Betway in my Hoffenheim Bayern betting tip
Thomas Tuchel will be on the FC Bayern touchline for the last time on Saturday, with the head coach set to leave the team at the end of the season. Or will he not? According to current rumors, the collaboration could continue beyond the end of the season after all.
It is not yet clear who will take over the reins of the club so accustomed to success. The market for available top coaches is thin on the ground and the coaches who have been approached so far have thankfully declined the offer. A busy summer break lies ahead for the sporting directors around Max Eberl and Co.
The predictions of the betting providers
Hoffenheim don’t have to worry about the coaching issue. Although things were slow for a long time with Pellegrino Matarazzo, they look set to qualify for European competition at the end of the 2023/2024 season.
Hoffenheim are currently in seventh place ahead of SC Freiburg. TSG cannot finish lower than eighth and if Leverkusen remain unbeaten in the cup final, they will at least qualify for the Conference League, with seventh place in this scenario qualifying for the Europa League.
If Kaiserslautern, on the other hand, triumph, the Red Devils will go on a European tour, while Hoffenheim could come away empty-handed in eighth place or, at best, reach the third-tier international competition in seventh place. If they pull off a coup against Bayern, sixth place is still within their grasp if SGE come away empty-handed against Leipzig.
But that is not too likely. At Intertops and Co., Hoffenheim are listed as slight underdogs at 3.25, while Bayern’s victory stands at 1.81, top odds for an away win for Harry Kane’s team, which I would advise against due to the personnel situation. More than four times the profit beckons in the event of a draw
Analysis: Hoffenheim vs. Bayern
In addition to a very large selection of odds, Intertops also convinces with a strong offer for new customers. The €10 free bet without a deposit is particularly impressive. All you need to do is verify your account.
At the same time, your deposit amount will be doubled, so you can secure extra betting credit of up to €100. I find the multi-goal odds a practical feature of the large betting offer. An over/under goal odds in one.
I have hedged my bets with the over 3.5 goals for a shooting match, at the same time I could limit the goal range to a maximum of six goals in the match with the 4-6 multigoal variant at strong 2.05 odds.
In view of the fairly large jump in odds to my 1.60 for over 3.5 goals, it’s almost worth considering. But in the past, there have been one or two matches with seven goals against these offensive teams
Analysis of odds
If you are looking for other betting providers with a free bet without a deposit, you could also take a look at Betano. They even offer a 20 euro freebet, which is another reason why this sports betting bonus is one of the best of all.
A betting configurator is also available here. Over 3.5 goals and a goal from the future top scorer Kane brings a 2.12 on the betting slip. The free bet gives you a nice net profit of over 20 euros.
At 1.57, the Kane goal can also be played as a single odds bet. He is the clear top favorite to score on Saturday afternoon and is also responsible for Munich’s penalties.
It’s definitely worth mentioning that Kane has scored in four of his last five appearances, three of which were from the spot. The English superstar is followed by Hoffenheim’s Maximilian Beier (2.40), Andrej Kramaric (2.62) and Bayern’s Mathys Tel (2.70).
The FCB’s bad luck with injuries continues
However, it is not yet clear whether Kane will be fit again after his back problems. Even at the end of the season, the injury curse is not over. Serge Gnabry, Jamal Musiala, Kingsley Coman, Raphael Guerreiro and Bouna Sarr are currently missing.
That’s another reason why I’m not betting on a simple away win. Especially as there is more at stake for TSG than for FC Bayern. After eleven championships in a row, a second place is not as important for the dominator of recent years as Hoffenheim qualifying for European competition.
The 1.98 odds for the double chance 1X are much more lucrative. While Bayern’s B-Guard secured an unchallenged 2-0 win against Wolfsburg in a rather dull match, Hoffenheim set off 6-0 fireworks at relegated Darmstadt
Munich’s high-scoring away games
The Kraichgauers have been stronger away from home than at home all season anyway. Three more points were scored away from home. On the final matchday, there is still a chance to even out the balance of home and away points.
Only 15th place is currently in the home table. Nevertheless, Hoffenheim have won three of their five matches this season at home. With an average of 3.5 goals, their performances have been anything but dull.
Anyone who finds that figure impressive is probably unaware of Bayern’s 4.25 goals per away game. With just nine wins from 16 matches, it is clear where Bayern have squandered the title. If you can even talk about “gambled away” with a 14-point deficit to the dominators Leverkusen
Over 3.5 goals have been a good choice in Hoffenheim matches recently, with at least four goals scored in four of the last five matches. The third-weakest defense in the league kept a clean sheet against Darmstadt for the first time in 28 competitive matches.
And a clean sheet against Bayern? That was not possible in 29 of 32 matches. 2017 was a good year for TSG in this direct duel, when Hoffenheim actually won twice without conceding a goal against Munich
Like all Bundesliga teams, Hoffenheim also look old in direct comparisons with FCB. Bayern prevailed 21 times, while Hoffenheim left the pitch victorious every eighth time. Bayern won 3-0 in the first half of the season.
The teams scored a whopping 38 goals. In any case, Bayern is the team with the most goalscoring opportunities this season with 800. Hoffenheim had 599 shots. Both teams are strong in terms of efficiency, with an 11.5 to 10.4 percent conversion rate per Bayern
My Hoffenheim FC Bayern betting tip:
Hoffenheim against Bayern in the season finale, it’s going to be a cracker! While TSG will be looking to secure their place in Europe before the DFB Cup final, Munich will be looking to at least secure the runners-up spot ahead of their southern German rivals Stuttgart.
Both teams have qualities up front. However, Hoffenheim in particular are shaky at the back, have the third weakest defense in the league and were able to keep a clean sheet for the first time in 28 games against listless Darmstadt.
That is likely to be difficult against the record champions. Both teams want to win and do justice to their task, so let the goal hunt begin!
My Hoffenheim Bayern prediction: Over 3.5 goals
