Serie A, Thursday, 31/10/2024 from 18:30 CET
Someone is getting closer and closer to the top of the table! AC Fiorentina is in top form, so the English week is just right to be able to confirm the last results.
It’s against a relegation candidate, so the guests are clearly favored despite the away game. In my Genoa Fiorentina betting tip, I would now like to tell you why I am using the “double chance X2” combo for over 1.5 goals.
Admittedly, SSC Napoli currently seems to be so consistent that hardly any other club is able to get involved in the fight for the top spot. Behind them, however, the field is closing more and more, also because Fiorentina are making their mark.
La Viola have leapt to fourth place, just two points behind second-placed Inter! The team have only suffered one defeat this season, a narrow 3-2 loss to Atalanta Bergamo in mid-September.
It’s hard to believe that Florence started the season with three draws and that defeat, because things are now going extremely well. Five wins and a draw, with victories over Milan, Lazio and Roma. Keep it up!
After the 6-0 win against Lecce, many wondered whether this should be seen as an offensive slip-up, because before that there had always been a maximum of two goals. After Roma left, it became clear that it was no slip-up!
With 5:1, Fiorentina swept over their opponent, and they could have scored a few more goals in the 20 minutes they had left. 13 goals in the last three games, what an insane rate.
With three of their last four wins coming at home, the Violets now have to show that they can do the same away from home. They got off to a slow start with two draws and a defeat before beating Lecce 6-0.
1-1, 2-3, 0-0, 6-0? No, the results could not have been more different. So a lot will depend on how the team performs on Thursday, and in the last three games, they have been top right from the start.
Six goals were scored before half-time. So I inevitably look at Oddset and see that a single goal in the first half would get odds of 1.88 here, and that’s not even including the strong Oddset bonus!
The fact that striker Albert Gudmundsson has been injured for a week and a half was not noticeable against Roma, and Fiorentina must be able to replace him in Genoa. Is it perhaps even a favorite opponent?
With a defeat in the last 13 games, you can certainly put it that way. Since three of the last four were won by twelve goals, it is only logical that La Viola are also the clear favorites in the upcoming game.
The odds are an average of 1.95 to 3.90, so the normal win bet would still be profitable. CFC Genoa are anything but in good form anyway, having won just a single game this season.
On the second matchday, they managed a 1-0 win in Monza, but they have since added three draws and five defeats. 0-3 against Lazio, 1-5 against Atalanta, 0-3 against Juventus Turin? No, the last few games against top opponents were not exactly successful!
The team has already conceded 20 goals, making it the second-worst defense in the league. In five of the games alone, they have always conceded at least two goals.
I quickly go back to Oddset and look at the odds for the bet “Over 1.5 goals Florence”. With a 2.00, you are in for a wonderful result considering the home side’s defensive weakness!
Home advantage may still speak in favor of Genoa, because after all, three out of five games ended in a draw. They took a point off Inter, Bologna and Roma, and two of those three teams are playing in the Champions League after all.
How long can Fiorentina keep up this strong streak! In Tuscany, the dreams of the Champions League are slowly but surely being brought out, and on Thursday, victory number four could follow.
Offensively, almost everything is going well for the violets. On the other side, we have a team in CFC Genoa that actually concedes at least two goals per game – or even more.
In this respect, my bet almost picks itself. Since the home side at least put up a brave fight and annoyed Inter and Roma, I opt for the following tip:
Fiorentina scores over 1.5 goals!