La Liga, Saturday, 18/01/2025 at 21:00
A shock in the Supercopa, a comfortable win in the cup – why can’t they finally get it right in the league again? FC Barcelona return to our La Liga Meisterwetten on Saturday, and they need to make a statement.
The trip takes them to the capital, where they face one of their favorite opponents. In my Getafe Barcelona tip, I’ll tell you why I’m taking a slightly higher risk here: the guests will take both the points and the clean sheet!
What, 5:2 against Real Madrid? Just like that? Despite a deep crisis in the league? That’s not possible! FC Barcelona fans must have been amazed a few days ago when their team demonstrated their power in the Clasico.
Despite playing almost a full half with ten men, the team played its way into a real frenzy, scoring all five goals before half-time, despite being behind.
It was a great start to the new year, followed shortly afterwards by a 5-1 win against Betis Sevilla in the Copa del Rey. Five goals again, which is exactly what the fans want to see.
And of course, the question that immediately springs to mind is: why didn’t it work like that in the league before the winter break? There, the Catalans have gotten off to a shaky start, with a gap of already six points to the top.
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With one win from the last seven rounds, it’s no wonder. They lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid, who are actually one of their favorite opponents, and then there were inexplicable defeats against Leganes and Las Palmas.
Barca were simply completely out of sorts, also conceding five times in two during the aforementioned period. Now the competition is over for the time being, the aim is to reduce the gap as quickly as possible.
With only one of the last four away games having ended in three points, Barcelona are likely to have big plans for the weekend. In the last two matches, a lead was squandered, and just before the end, the planned victories were gone.
In addition, Robert Lewandowski is welcome to present himself from a slightly stronger side again; two goals in seven games do not really correspond to his level. The Pole spent 90 minutes on the bench against Betis Sevilla.
In the first half of the season, when they beat Getafe 1-0 in a close and laborious game, Lewandowski was still the match winner. Basically, it’s actually impossible for them to lose on Saturday.
Barca have only conceded one of their last 27 direct duels, keeping a clean sheet 17 times in that period. The Catalans have kept a clean sheet in six straight games, but anyone who thinks that there has been one clear away win after another is sorely mistaken.
0:0, 0:0, 0:0? Indeed, the last three matches in Getafe did not result in any goals! 0:1, 2:0, 2:1, 2:1, 2:0, 0:0? The results that have been achieved so far do not promise any easy wins.
It’s a very defensive game, but that also means that Getafe rarely scores. It’s the ideal transition to the current season of the hosts, because here too, offense is the big problem.
The Azulones are in 15th place, with 13 goals scored, no one can beat them. But hey, 16 goals conceded? Barca have 22! In fact, only Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid have a better defense.
Getafe returned from the winter break with a 2-1 win over Las Palmas. Two own goals? Before that, there had only been three in seven games! It was only the second time this season that a double had worked.
Eight of the matches went into half-time with the scores level, and only seven have been decided by a single goal. Getafe is actually not that easy to beat at home, having only lost twice.
Mallorca and Girona collected a 1-0 here, but it’s unfortunate from the home side’s point of view that these two defeats came in the last four home games. 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 2-0, 1-1, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0, 1-0 and 0-1? No, there really is no spectacle at home!
The 2.5 goal limit has actually never been exceeded, which fits perfectly with the facts that I was able to draw from the direct comparison. By the way: with odds of 7.00 to 1.45, Getafe is the clear underdog at our tax-free bookies, as expected.
What FC Barcelona showed in the Super Cup and the Cup should also be possible in the league! The Catalans need to get back into their stride as soon as possible, otherwise the competition will pull away.
It’s a good thing that Getafe is one of their favorite opponents. The Madrid suburb is known for its highly defensive approach, as the home side have the third-best defense, but the weakest attack – as was also evident in the direct comparison.
I expect Barca to go into the game strengthened and with confidence and to manage to keep the home side’s tired attacking efforts under control. So my tip is:
Barcelona win to nil!
