La Liga, Saturday, 18/01/2025 at 4:15 pm
Would you have thought it possible that the promoted team would have collected more points than the great FC Barcelona in the last five La Liga matchdays?
Of course, I don’t want to put both clubs on the same level with that, but it is also clear that the “Pepineros” are always able to put up resistance.
Accordingly, I expect anything but a crass away win by the current league leaders in my Leganes Atletico Madrid betting tip.
Leganés, affectionately known by fans as “Pepineros”, missed the chance to turn their brilliant 1-0 win at Barcelona in December into a real success story.
Instead, they only managed a 1-1 draw against Espanyol, in which Borja Jiménez’s team went behind early but remained slightly in the driving seat until the end.
It is particularly painful for CDL fans that an alarming pattern is emerging – especially against top clubs, Leganés often has no chance. The bitter 5-2 defeat against Villarreal in the last home game was just the latest example of this trend.
In fact, Leganés has lost all previous home games against teams from the top 10, four of them even without scoring. All the more reason to be alert from the start against Atlético and not to chase after an early goal again.
All this makes it impossible for the promoted team to pull off a coup similar to the one they pulled off against Barcelona recently.
However, in my Leganes Atletico Madrid prediction, I will still give you some good arguments as to why a laborious victory for the “Rojiblancos” seems more likely, along with a reference to the Interwetten free bet.
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The ‘Colchoneros’, meanwhile, travel to Leganés as league leaders and with their chests puffed out. Eight wins in a row – that alone is impressive.
But it gets even better: Atlético have been the dominant team in the second half this season. In 14 of 19 league games, they have scored more goals after the break than before half-time.
This ability, along with their mental strength, is the hallmark of Diego Simeone, who, after more than 700 games as Atlético coach, still seems to know how to get the most out of his team.
The most recent proof of this? A narrow but deserved 1-0 win against Osasuna, which also marked the 14th consecutive win in official matches – a new club record.
Nevertheless, there are slight doubts about Atlético’s away form: of eight games as favorites away from home, only four have been won. Two defeats in their last four away games against promoted teams make it clear that even this team is not infallible.
For Leganés, this could be a glimmer of hope, even if the task remains monumental. Their stadium, the Estadio Municipal de Butarque, has often been a fortress in the past, but this season, they have not been able to ignite the spark.
The Madrilenians are also known for keeping calm even in difficult moments and then striking with clinical precision. Their unyielding style and individual class make them an almost insurmountable opponent – especially for a promoted team!
“A good horse only jumps as high as it has to” is a motto that Diego Simeone and his players probably have written on the door to the team cabin.
Although they have won each of their last five competitive matches against Spanish clubs, they have only ever done so by exactly one goal.
Even against the amateur club from the Primera RFEF, Marbella, the “Rojiblancos” only managed a narrow victory (1-0) in the Copa del Rey just under two weeks ago.
And from what I’ve seen of Leganes so far this season, it’s unlikely that they’ll suddenly let their guard down against the league leaders on Saturday.
Clubs with ‘Real’ in their name are not welcome guests at the Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
In particular, the promoted team has lost all of its last three La Liga home games against Real Madrid (0-3), Real Sociedad (0-3) and Villarreal (2-5).
But that also shows how well they can normally perform in their own stadium, as this is the exact same number of defeats in the entire calendar year 2024 up to this point.
Let’s move on to the interesting part: a promising Leganés Atlético Madrid tip that you can put to the test with almost all sports betting providers.
As a football bet, I can already tell you what I consider to be the two most likely final results: a 1-0 or 2-1 win for the “Rojiblancos”.
Based on that, there are two very specific tips that are worthy of your attention with regard to the Leganés Atlético odds.
These are “Leganes win with handicap +2” and “Under 3.5 goals” at odds of 1.57 and 1.75 respectively.
Conclusion: Atlético is an extremely clinical team that usually improves as the game progresses and continuously increases its workload.
I can therefore imagine a relaxed 0-0 at half-time on Saturday, before Atlético will do enough to win by just one goal again.
In any case, the promoted team is not expected to make a big impression offensively unless they fall behind.
My Leganes Atletico Madrid prediction is therefore: Win SDL with handicap +2.