Bundesliga matchday 16, Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 18:30
Into 2025! In our 1st Bundesliga tips, FC Bayern have a four-point lead. A nice cushion, but also far too little to get overconfident. Especially because the new year starts with my Gladbach Bayern tip, which harbors some dangers.
The Foals have been Munich’s opponents to fear for years, even though they won both matches last season for the first time since 2016/17. As Gladbach have been in really good form, I think it will be an interesting, very entertaining game
And when Tim Kleindienst meets Harry Kane, it somehow also means: open fire for two of the best strikers in the league! Goals are the order of the day for me in any case, which is why I’ve decided to back the combination of BTS and over 2.5 goals.
Historically and currently, both teams offer me some clues for this bet to come true. As VfL have scored in every home game against the German record champions for almost eight years, they have a good chance of keeping up at the weekend.
So I’m now analyzing a top match that could also be one in terms of play thanks to Borussia’s improving form. And who knows, maybe the mood at the Isar will be gone faster than we can write 2025…
The bookmakers’ prediction?
Gladbach have been without a home defeat for almost four months and have usually looked good when FCB have traveled here. And yet, our bookmakers are clearly against a win on Saturday. The odds reach an average of 6.30.
So it’s the same as always: if FC Bayern plays in the Bundesliga, a pure win bet is not profitable. This statement is certainly true for the weekend, where values of 1.42 can be seen. However: With the NEO.bet odds boost, new customers can quintuple the odds of an FCB win.
The last direct duels have been very close, which alone is enough to consider whether we might be right with a draw. An average of 5.10 sounds high, but all the more profitable if there is actually a point for both teams.
KI prediction Gladbach vs Bayern: ChatGPT
This is what ChatGPT predicts
Of course, German soccer classics are always something special for ChatGPT too. In this case, the AI refers in its betting suggestions to the fact that there should be a lot in it for the foals.
In the high-risk area, it goes all out and says: The underdog wins 2:1! I’ll be honest: that’s not that far-fetched in my eyes. I expect the home side to get off to a furious start and believe that IF Gladbach manage a win, it will be 2:1.
At the same time, I’m also very keen on the “Gladbach score first” betting suggestion. VfL have managed this feat against FCB for four games now, so this tip could really pay off for you.
Harry Kane is finally fit again and will be available for the Munich team on Saturday. The AI reckons he’ll slot straight in with a goal – and since Gladbach have only played to nil at home against St. Pauli and Union, I’ll go straight for it.
Analysis: Gladbach vs Bayern
It’s been a good first half of the season, but it’s not quite over yet. A good one that showed a lot of light, but also some shadows. FC Bayern were generally in a good mood under the Christmas tree, leading the competition by four points.
After the 2:1 slip-up in Mainz, Munich put things right again with a 5:1 win over RB Leipzig. Both offensively and defensively, they hold the top spots among the competition, and their goal difference is almost twice as good as that of runners-up Leverkusen.
Away from home, I can see two draws and the defeat in Mainz, so there is some catching up to do. St. Pauli, Bochum and Bremen? The three clubs with a clean sheet away from home are not exactly known as giants.
If I look at the last three away games that included goals conceded, I notice that they were always scored before the break, and twice there were even two of them. So it’s not for nothing that I gave you the tip to bet on a Gladbach goal before the break
Rating Analysis
I have to talk directly about Tim Kleindienst for this game. Since the attacker scored three times against Bayern in 2023/24 and has already scored nine times this season, I’ll use the Bet365 registration and say: A goal on Saturday is possible, the odds of 3.40 are extremely effective!
In addition, I can well imagine that Gladbach will score the first goal of the game. If they do so in the first half, we’re looking at odds of 2.30.
Even if Munich win at the weekend, I don’t think the margin of victory will be high. There has only been one away win by more than one goal in eleven years. That’s why I think the 2-0 handicap is advisable, with odds of 1.75.
Gladbach vs. Bayern: Will the offense decide the game?
Of course, it may sound like a luxury problem for some clubs, but the clocks tick differently on the Isar. All the better that the test match against Red Bull Salzburg a few days ago brought the desired result.
The score was 6:0, with Michael Olise contributing a brace. Manuel Neuer and Jamal Musiala were not involved in the game, but there are high hopes that the duo will be fit in time for Saturday.
While Harry Kane will also finally be back, the match will come too soon for Sacha Boey. Dayot Upamecano will also only be able to keep his fingers crossed in front of the TV, as he is definitely suspended.
Angstgegner Gladbach
Bayern know only too well that a lot can go wrong in Mönchengladbach. In September 2023, they won at Böckelberg for the first time since 2019. When have they managed two wins in a row there? 2013/14!
Manuel Neuer and Thomas Müller may still remember it, but they have also been conceding goals since March 2017. I definitely wouldn’t delete the term “fearful opponent” just yet.
Of course, Borussia fans will be euphoric going into this game; after all, they know what their team has achieved against Bayern in recent years. But they can be full of confidence even without the historical component.
Before the winter break, the foals finally managed to get into a really good phase. A 4:1 win against Kiel was followed by a 2:1 win in Hoffenheim – the first time ever that they had won two games in a row!
The team has only lost one of its last nine matches and has been unbeaten at home since mid-September. Five wins and a draw against Dortmund, that’s really something to be proud of
Gladbach always score at home, which is also strong. Gladbach have already scored at least three goals at home three times. With five goals and four assists, Tim Kleindienst is, unsurprisingly, also cutting a really good figure.
Trailing at the break? The only time Borussia Mönchengladbach have trailed at the break was against Bayer Leverkusen 2:3 on the first matchday – and VfL caught up and lost the game in the last second.
My Gladbach Bayern tip:
Is Borussia Mönchengladbach still a scary opponent for FC Bayern, who won 6:0 against RB Salzburg in preparation? I think: Yes! Anything can happen against the Foals, especially away from home.
Borussia were in really good form before the break, especially at home. Tim Kleindienst is a very accurate scorer and Bayern can stumble away from home – Upamecano is also suspended on Saturday.
I have therefore decided to recommend an offensive bet. Both are in good form in attack at the moment, which can therefore only mean
Both will score, the 2.5 goal mark will be cracked!
