TSG Hoffenheim – Borussia Mönchengladbach betting tip
In the battle for the international places, there is great tension in the final spurt of the 2023/24 season. Thanks to Bayern and Dortmund’s success in the top flight, the Bundesliga could get a fifth CL starting place.
And the snail’s race for the Europa League and Conference League places is also close behind them. There are just three points between 6th place (42) and 8th place (39). Hoffenheim are also three points off the pace and still have hopes of international business.
After their 3:1 home win against Augsburg on the penultimate matchday, the Kraichgauers were even tempted to make a challenge to 6th-placed Frankfurt Eintracht
However, the euphoria in Hoffenheim did not last long. Last Saturday, they suffered a bitter 4:1 defeat at relegation-threatened Mainz. It was TSG’s fourth defeat in the last five matchdays.
Nevertheless, coach Pellegrino Matarazzo’s men remain in the European Cup race. However, they cannot afford another slip-up in their home game against Gladbach on Saturday.
My Hoffenheim Gladbach betting tip should make it clear why I’m opting for the “Double chance X2” bet at odds of 1.75 with Oddset for this match
The forecast of the betting providers?
In the table, TSG are five points and two places ahead of their upcoming opponents. Together with the home advantage, this is the starting position for the Hoffenheim Gladbach prediction.
The home side are favorites with the best bookmakers with odds of just over 2.00 to win. However, the average for a three-pointer for the visitors is only 3.22.
Hoffenheim could win two home games in a row for the first time this season on Saturday. On the other hand, Borussia could win two BL away games in a row for the first time in two years.
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Analysis: Hoffenheim vs Gladbach
TSG’s visit to Mainz had actually started quite well. The Kraichgauers had taken the lead with their first chance. After that, however, Hoffenheim lacked control and intensity.
The team from Baden remained far too harmless and ultimately capitulated to Mainz’s passion. This pattern has often been repeated with the team this season.
On good days, the squad can bring their individual class to the pitch and play at Europa League level in terms of quality. However, when opponents, some of whom are weaker in terms of footballing ability, bring the basics such as intensity and resistance to the table, things get tight.
The defense is also struggling. Coach Pellegrino Matarazzo’s team has gone 24 games without conceding a goal. This means they have set the club’s negative record
In 2024, only Darmstadt (28) conceded more goals. TSG also conceded the most goals to opponents (495) and the most shots on goal (190) in 2023/24.
Things are going particularly badly in front of their own fans. Four wins, four draws and six defeats (16 points) are only good enough for third-last place in the home table.
Coach Matarazzo and managing director Alexander Rosen are therefore in the crossfire of criticism. Their future will also depend on whether they manage to qualify for international play.
The injured John and Berisha will be missing against Gladbach. Geiger is an alternative for the center. In addition, Bebou and Bülter could strengthen the transition game
Quota analysis
In the Hoffenheim Gladbach preview, the odds for the bet “Over 2.5 goals” do not even climb above the 1.50 mark, which is quite understandable.
TSG are the only BL team still without a clean sheet at home. And Gladbach have only scored once away from home this season. No team is worse here either.
Alassane Plea must be on the list of goalscorers. The attacker is not only Borussia’s top scorer with seven goals this season, but also only scored more goals against Bochum (5) than against Hoffenheim (4).
If another goal is added on Saturday, you’ll get odds of 3.20 at Crazybuzzer. We’ll tell you how to register with this betting provider and how the Crazybuzzer registration process works.
The Kraichgauers have conceded 34 of 57 goals after the break. Gladbach have conceded 31 of 56 goals in the second half. If this streak continues, there is a 2.05 for the bet “More goals in half-time 2” at Interwetten.
New customers should secure the Interwetten betting bonus beforehand
Does Gladbach slip back into the relegation battle?
Mönchengladbach are playing their weakest season in 13 years with 31 points after 29 games. Back then, the foals could only save themselves from relegation via relegation.
The 56 goals conceded after 29 games was also last surpassed in the 2010/11 season (63). Coach Gerardo Seoane’s team currently have a five-point cushion to 16th place.
Last matchday, Borussia were allowed to play from the 55th minute at home against Dortmund. However, the hosts were unable to capitalize on this.
They lacked pace, precision and conviction. There were also many simple mistakes. The result was a 1:2 home defeat against BVB. With just two wins and eleven points, BMG are 14th in the table for the second half of the season
The foals drop too many points
Only Darmstadt (4), Wolfsburg (8) and Bochum (10) have collected fewer points in the second half of the season. The foals have been struggling on their opponents’ pitches all season.
They have taken home all three points twice in 14 away games. Nevertheless, with the most recent 3:1 in Wolfsburg, they have managed twice as many away wins this season (2) as in the entire previous season.
However, no team has conceded as many points after taking the lead (27) as the men from the Lower Rhine. Another center forward, Jordan, has been injured in the nine-man position.
Gladbach will also be without Jantschke, Walde, Koné, Ngoumou and Ranos on Saturday. The injured Elvedi and Lainer should be fit for action. Honorat’s involvement will be decided at short notice
After 34 competitive matches, the record between the two clubs is completely even, with 11 wins and 12 draws each. However, Gladbach have won their last four Bundesliga matches against Hoffenheim.
In addition, the Foals have lost just one of their last six visits to the Kraichgau club (3S, 2U). There was a 2:3 defeat in Sinsheim in April 2023
Gerardo Seoane won each of his three BL matches against Hoffenheim coach Pellegrino Matarazzo. The Swiss has not won as many BL matches against any other coach.
On the other hand, Matarazzo only played more first division games against Christian Streich without picking up a single point (8).
My Hoffenheim Gladbach tip:
Both teams were not particularly strong in the second half of the season. With 12 points, TSG are only just ahead of BMG (11). So it’s not easy to make a prediction.
However, I think the visitors will get at least one point. This has to do primarily with the direct comparison. In addition, Hoffenheim are one of the weakest home teams in the league this season.
My Hoffenheim Gladbach prediction is therefore: Double chance X2!
