Bundesliga 11th matchday, Saturday 11/23/2024 at 3:30 p.m.
Leipzig are currently showing two faces: in the Bundesliga, everything is going like clockwork, while they are facing elimination in the preliminary round of the Champions League.
But based on their form in the domestic league competition, I expect them to put in another strong performance against Hoffenheim on matchday 11.
The Saxons have so far shown that they play at a high level in the Bundesliga and also go into the race against TSG as clear favorites.
In my Leipzig Hoffenheim betting tip, I will now analyze with you how the “Red Bulls” could continue their good form and leave TSG no chance in the PreZero Arena.
Why am I betting on a victory for the Saxons in the Intertops app? Not only because of their current form.
RBL has now been unbeaten by Hoffenheim in five Bundesliga duels (4 wins, 1 draw) and, in addition, has only lost one of the last 12 meetings – that was 2021 with 0:2.
In the first four Bundesliga games against Hoffenheim, things looked different, but now Leipzig is increasingly dominating this Bundesliga pairing from year to year.
Given this record and their current form, a victory for the “Red Bulls” in Kraichgau is anything but unlikely. In my Hoffenheim RB Leipzig prediction, I am certainly not expecting anything different after the change of coach at TSG!
The betting providers’ prediction?
The available Hoffenheim RB Leipzig odds reveal an interesting assessment! Because according to the betting providers, the match should by no means be as one-sided as I assume in my prediction.
Leipzig are also traded as favorites with an average of 2.10, but Hoffenheim are by no means without chances with a 3.35 and a draw at 3.65. The bookmakers therefore seem to see the game as a bit more open.
KI prediction Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig: That’s what ChatGPT suggests
I really liked the Hoffenheim RB Leipzig AI prediction from ChatGPT. At this point, I’ll share with you the top three suggestions the artificial chat program gave me for this encounter.
The risky betting recommendation, “Leipzig win both halves” at odds of 5.20, is daring, but certainly justified.
In one of the last two duels from the 2023/24 season, Leipzig was already able to make this scenario a reality, which at the same time gives this tip a higher probability of success. Don’t you think?
Nevertheless, it remains a risky endeavor that should be approached with caution.
The second medium-risk tip, “Over 3.5 goals,” doesn’t quite convince me as much. I also expect a high-scoring game, but the odds of 2.15 are a bit too low for me.
A higher value would have made this tip more attractive to me, but it is still not an unreasonable choice.
The supposedly safe tip, “1st goal Leipzig” at odds of 1.78 on average, is ultimately the best of the three AI suggestions in my opinion.
It is very likely that RBL will take the lead, and the betting odds are quite attractive considering that they have already taken a 1-0 lead against TSG twice in the previous season.
So this is a safe and statistically well-founded Hoffenheim RB Leipzig tip that feels good through and through.
Analysis: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim: The Kraichgauer have only won two games this season and are fighting to stay in the league. After a disappointing start and three games without scoring, coach Pellegrino Matarazzo was fired during the international break.
Christian Ilzer is taking over the helm after successfully leading Sturm Graz. Hoffenheim is now hoping for the so-called “new coach effect” to quickly stabilize and avoid the relegation zone.
With just a one-point lead over the relegation places, the pressure is now immense to finally get back to winning ways and save the season.
RB Leipzig: The “Red Bulls” are in second place and are putting in an impressive defensive performance, conceding just five goals in ten games – the best record in the Bundesliga.
Despite losing 2-0 at Dortmund before the international break, their start remains one of the best in club history with 21 points from ten games. They are particularly strong away from home, winning three of their first five away games.
Despite the recent setback, they are on course to continue playing at the top and are aiming for another significant away win in Hoffenheim on their way to the top.
Odds Analysis
After much deliberation, I believe the best option is the accumulator bet “RBL to win & Over 2.5 goals” at odds of 2.75.
This bet covers two possible outcomes that I consider to be very likely: a 2-1 or 3-0 win for RBL. This means you can benefit from a solid win without having to rely too heavily on TSG’s offensive play.
Incidentally, these two possible outcomes also show that I am not a big fan of betting on more than three goals in this game.
Therefore, this combination bet is perfect for minimizing risk while still achieving an attractive sports betting payout.
In fact, anything on the markets beyond 3.5 goals has not been quoted high enough for me.
Hoffenheim vs. RB Leipzig odds: Hoffe concede goals!
It has gone almost unnoticed in my Hoffenheim RB Leipzig prediction so far, but a “both teams score” bet is almost mandatory, even at odds of just 1.45 on average.
That’s because Hoffenheim has been waiting for a home shutout for 25 games – the last time they managed it in the Bundesliga was with a 2-0 win over Schalke 04.
In the entire history of the Bundesliga, only Rot-Weiss Essen (1970-1974) with 26 games and VfB Stuttgart (2021-2023) with 31 games have had to endure an even longer dry spell without a “home clean sheet”.
In view of this record, it seems highly likely that Leipzig will also score in this game, which makes the “Both Teams to Score” bet even more attractive.
The Intertops new customer bonus is also attractive, of course. Click on the banner and get a new customer bonus worth up to 100 euros.
TSG: Neuer Trainer, viele Unsicherheiten!
The international break came at just the right time for Leipzig. Rose was finally able to take a deep breath and get the boys back into shape. After all, the starting position couldn’t be better – the opponent has a much harder time ahead of them.
Hoffenheim have just nine points from 10 games – that’s the second-worst season since they joined the Bundesliga. It’s easy to get tripped up, especially considering that they haven’t exactly covered themselves in glory in recent years.
Nevertheless, they have stabilized somewhat in the last five games, with only one defeat. But I doubt whether that is really enough to keep up with Leipzig.
The biggest problem for Hoffenheim, however, is the aforementioned change of coach. After the separation from Matarazzo, who could not exactly shine with 27 defeats in 59 games, things look anything but rosy.
The fans had to say goodbye to him and now Christian Ilzer is at the helm – a good man, but also new to the TSG boat. He has to sweep up the debris first, which doesn’t necessarily make the whole thing any easier.
By the way: The reason why I didn’t fully agree with the Hoffenheim RB Leipzig AI prediction of over 3.5 goals before is that at least four goals are not guaranteed.
After all, both teams have taken relatively few shots this season, only 118 each, which suggests that they are not exactly known for high shot totals.
Leipzig even has the lowest goal tally in its history, with only 15 goals after the first ten Bundesliga matchdays.
My Hoffenheim RB Leipzig Tip:
Better a terrible end than a terrible end. Therefore, I can definitely agree with the departure of Pellegrino Matarazzo during the international break.
However, I doubt that his successor will beat a strong team like RBL on his first day.
The absence of Xavi Simons will somewhat limit the Saxons’ offensive efforts, but in terms of injuries, Hoffenheim are in a much worse position.
Consequently, the RBL express should pass through Sinsheim and continue to stay on course for the league lead!
My Hoffenheim RB Leipzig prediction: RBL wins & Over 2.5 goals.
