Bundesliga 11th matchday, Saturday, 11/23/2024 at 3:30 pm
While Germany is in the thick of the action in the Nations League, things are finally going well again for the “Irons” in the Bundesliga.
With a win on matchday 11 against the “Wolves”, they could even make a big leap and advance deep into the European Cup zone.
In my Wolfsburg Union Berlin betting tip, I examine whether the Berliners can confirm their upward trend or whether the hosts can play to their strength in the Volkswagen Arena.
Both teams have a lot to gain – a hotly contested battle for important points is in store! Here you will find the best betting opportunities for the clash of two ambitious teams.
Beating VfL will be anything but easy for Union Berlin. The Wolves have won four of their ten Bundesliga duels against the Köpenickers (3 draws, 3 defeats) – and all of their victories have come at home.
With an impressive home win rate of 80% against the Irons, Union are without doubt one of Wolfsburg’s favorite opponents in the Volkswagen Arena.
So Union will have a hard time breaking this series, but my Wolfsburg Union Berlin tip is still marked by success if the game ends in a draw.
Incidentally, the winnings would be considerably higher if the attractive Betano offer code were used.
The betting providers’ prediction?
The current Wolfsburg Union Berlin betting odds show a fairly even picture. VfL is seen as a slight favorite with 2.25, while Union is seen as an outsider with 3.40.
Finally, a draw is 3.25, indicating a close and hard-fought game.
In my personal Betano experience, I have also repeatedly found that the platform offers attractive odds, which are particularly interesting for such balanced duels. That’s another reason why I can highly recommend it to you!
Wolfsburg v Union Berlin: ChatGPT’s prediction
Immediately after the international break, I requested a sophisticated Wolfsburg Union Berlin AI prediction from ChatGPT, which I will now evaluate for you at this point.
The high-risk tip, “Half-time/final score: Union/Union” with odds of 5.25, is risky, but the high payout makes it tempting nonetheless.
In my opinion, the probability of this scenario is significantly higher than the entry percentage that the bookmakers have set for it. Definitely a must for sports betting fans with a penchant for risk.
I also think the medium-risk tip, “Both score – No”, is a very good suggestion.
Union definitely has the option of playing to zero, and I see the game ending 0-0, 0-1 or 0-2 anyway, with the most likely outcomes. Therefore, I find this Wolfsburg Union Berlin tip highly recommended.
The last tip on “Double Chance X2” is, in my view, another good suggestion. I agree with the AI that this safe tip is a very good choice, as Union is in solid shape overall.
Analysis: Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin
Wolfsburg will be looking for their first home win of the season when they host Union Berlin at the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday.
With just two draws and three defeats at home, it will be a tall order, but their overall form since matchday five is encouraging. They have lost just one of their last seven matches across all competitions (3 wins, 3 draws).
The 3-1 win in Heidenheim just before the international break, in which Bence Dárdai scored as the youngest Wolfsburg goalscorer in Bundesliga history, was definitely a highlight.
Currently, VfL are in 12th place, with only a few points separating them from the relegation places and the European places, which is why this game is particularly important for them.
Union Berlin, meanwhile, have had a successful start to the season, but they have faltered recently and have not won a single game in their last four (2 draws, 2 defeats).
They did manage to get a point out of the last game, a 0-0 draw against Freiburg, but luck was on their side when the sports club missed a penalty.
Sixth place at the start of this matchday is still solid, but Union urgently needs to get back on the road to success to avoid slipping further down the table.
Odds Analysis
I can only strongly recommend the “Wolfsburg Union Berlin AI Prediction” mentioned earlier. The more I think about it, the more I am convinced that “Half Time/Full Time 2/2” at around 5.50 is actually an excellent offer.
Because VfL has conceded a goal before half-time in each of the last five home league games – this suggests that Union actually has a good chance of being ahead at half-time and winning the game.
The offer “Union will win one of the two halves” at odds of around 2.05 in the Betano app is also very attractive. If FCU is actually ahead at half-time, you can already look forward to a great payout.
This bet offers a good risk-benefit ratio, especially considering that Union is capable of scoring an early goal and taking advantage of the momentum. Another strong value bet offer!
Wolfsburg vs. Union Berlin Odds: A 0-0 is realistic!
There is a good reason why I don’t want to rule out a 0-0 in my Wolfsburg Union Berlin betting tip and why I don’t want to take a clear side with the guests.
Because Union Berlin has had enormous difficulties scoring goals in the Bundesliga this season. With only nine goals in the current 2024/25 season, the “Irons” have the second-worst offense in the league, only St. Pauli has scored even fewer goals.
In addition, the Berliners are particularly ineffective in the second half of matches and have scored only three goals in the second half – which does not necessarily suggest a strong attacking performance.
Wolfsburg could well be in a position to keep a clean sheet, especially if the visitors continue to have problems in attack.
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The style of play could also favor a 0-0!
It’s going to be a tough game, folks. Wolfsburg will do everything they can to neutralize Union’s biggest weapon: set-pieces.
No wonder, after all, the Wolves have already conceded eight goals from set-pieces – more than any other team.
And Union? The boys from Köpenick love set-pieces – a whopping 56% of their goals come from them. From open play? Well, with just four goals, it’s rather meager.
And both teams are likely to play it safe in the build-up to the game as well. Risky passes in the build-up could quickly go wrong – and nobody wants that. Wolfsburg in particular has to be careful, because Union is pretty quick when it comes to winning the ball high up the pitch.
They have shot on target 13 times after such situations – only Bayern and Werder are even more aggressive. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, has conceded 16 such situations, the highest in the league!
In the end, however, this could lead to us seeing a game in which both teams neutralize each other.
Slow pace, little risk, and a lot of waiting. Everything points to the zero remaining intact for the time being – maybe even for a really long time. So pack some patience, this could take a while!
My Wolfsburg Union Berlin tip:
Get ready for one of the most unspectacular games of match day 11. Especially since both teams will most likely play it safe, I don’t expect the score to go higher than 2:0 or 2:1 for the guests from the capital.
Nevertheless, I think the “Lucky Punch” could go in favor of the Berliners – strong defensively and efficient in set pieces? That could be enough in the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday!
My Wolfsburg Union Berlin prediction is thus: Double Chance X2 & under 3.5 goals.
