Bundesliga 11th matchday, Saturday, 11/23/2024 at 3:30 pm
The champion stumbles! On the one hand, Bayer Leverkusen was sure that this fabulous 2023/24 season would be hard to repeat. Nevertheless, four wins from the first ten rounds, the defending champion had not imagined the start of our 1st Bundesliga tips like that.
Three points are no longer a matter of course, which is why the Leverkusen Heidenheim betting tip must be broken down in minute detail. However, I will try to reassure the Werkself fans, because I am actually advocating a 0-1 handicap.
This is mainly because the guests from Heidenheim are currently sliding ever closer to the dangerous zone. They are collecting defeats, no longer scoring goals and are in probably the most precarious situation since their promotion.
The Leverkusen Heidenheim odds prove me right in that they have average odds of 1.20 to 13.5 on offer. Accordingly, it is expected that the home side will be able to secure a comfortable victory.
Since I recommended a handicap bet to you, I now have to gather the best facts, because Leverkusen’s current situation doesn’t actually make a clear victory, which implies a lead of several goals, that likely!
The betting providers’ prediction?
Although Bayer Leverkusen rarely win this season, our bookmakers don’t seem to think that’s a big deal in terms of Saturday. The outright win bet only gets odds of 1.20 against Heidenheim.
The visitors, who are currently only winning, will certainly not be surprised to travel to the Rhineland as clear outsiders. Those who want to take the risk of the “tip 2” can look forward to odds of around 14.0.
Leverkusen likes to play draws, although of course not by choice. Since five of their last six games have ended in a draw, you should probably not rule out the possibility of a draw from the outset.
KI prediction Leverkusen vs Heidenheim: That’s what ChatGPT tips
Of course, word has also got around to the AI that things just aren’t going right for Leverkusen. So I fired up ChatGPT as usual and had it spit out three interesting tips for the weekend.
If you want to take a high risk, you can bet on Leverkusen to win after being behind. Although Bayer has already conceded twice at home to fall behind 1-0, I don’t think this bet is really appropriate, because Heidenheim is really unsettled.
At medium risk, we look at the classic “both teams scoring”. Well, Heidenheim has only scored three times in their last five games, but at the same time, Leverkusen has only just earned a clean sheet. Therefore, the “both teams scoring” could be a good investment with odds around 2.00.
A Leverkusen win with more than 2.5 goals is a low-risk bet in the draw. This bet also gets my approval, as a Heidenheim goal could be implied here.
Well, even a champion is not automatically safe from a false start! Bayer Leverkusen can look back on a curious few months. After winning the double, the Werkself naturally wanted to build seamlessly on their achievements.
But haven’t the Leverkuseners lost once already (after all, there was no Bundesliga in 2023/24)? This statement is absolutely correct, but nevertheless the team is far from winning game after game.
The simple reason for this is that they are constantly drawing games, and not only against strong opponents like Bayern Munich and Stuttgart. 2-2 against Kiel, 1-1 against Bochum, 2-2 against Bremen? It is results like these that are perplexing.
Last season, Bayer often scored in the final minutes and clinched important victories, but now it’s regularly the other way around. A lead doesn’t necessarily mean three points.
Odds analysis
On which side is the uncertainty greater? Leverkusen has already squandered 11 points after taking the lead, which I see as a blatant weakness.
Therefore, I could imagine that Heidenheim will score after the break for exactly this reason. At Betano, you can get top odds of 2.75 and also the chance to use the welcome bonus.
At the same time, this could mean that Leverkusen will lead at half-time. If this bet pays off, the risk is not quite as high, but you can still get a nice 1.57.
If I had to choose one result bet, then of course all betting options should be included. My choice here would be a 3-1 win for the home team, for which Oddset offers odds of 10.0.
Leverkusen vs. Heidenheim: Nobody is in a good mood!
The club has already conceded eleven goals after taking the lead, and even a 2-0 lead is no longer a safe bet. Five draws in the last six games, including a narrow 2-1 win against Eintracht Frankfurt, are not what you would call satisfying.
They have only won four times, and with the exception of the 4-1 win at Hoffenheim, all the other victories were very close. In addition to the aforementioned 2-1 win against Frankfurt, there was a 4-3 win against Wolfsburg and a 3-2 win against Gladbach.
Goals against? There have already been 16 of them. It’s hard to believe that Leverkusen managed with 24 in the entire previous season. There were at least two in five of the current round.
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Defensive against offensive problems
The home stadium is only a limited advantage, not only because of the 3-2 defeat to RB Leipzig. Only Wolfsburg and Frankfurt were narrowly beaten, and they only kept a clean sheet in the 0-0 against VfB.
The last time a reigning champion, FC Bayern in 2000/01, only managed one clean sheet in the first ten rounds was way back in 2000/01. Which is a good segue into a look back at history.
In 2019, Bayer was knocked out of the cup by Heidenheim with a 2-1 defeat, but last season the duels were won 4-1 and 2-1. Well, a clean sheet against the Swabians has never worked.
Heidenheim are going through a really tough patch at the moment, you can even use the word “crisis” here. Since their promotion, we are seeing these statistics for the first time, now morale is needed.
They have only won one of the last eight matches, and have actually lost six times during this period. It’s also not the case that Heidenheim only lose to big teams like Bayern or Dortmund.
They gave Kiel their first win, and also lost to Wolfsburg and Gladbach. Their home form has also gone, nothing reminds us of the team that greeted the top of the table after two match days with 6:0 goals and six points.
Only VfL Bochum is below the Heidenheimers in the current form table. For the second time since promotion, the team could go six consecutive games without a win on Saturday.
It is definitely interesting that seven of the ten results included no goals on either side. FCH has collected four clean sheets (Leverkusen only one), but at the same time has also failed to score four times.
With Lennard Maloney and Marnon Busch, two important players are also injured, and it is not yet 100 percent clear whether they will be able to travel to Leverkusen at the weekend.
My Leverkusen Heidenheim tip:
Bayer Leverkusen should easily win against crisis-stricken Heidenheim on a normal day! Yes, I can basically sign this statement, but the Werkself has just enough to do with itself.
The many draws cost nerves and points. On the other hand, FCH not only loses against top opponents, but also against teams like Wolfsburg or Kiel, it can no longer get back on its feet and score.
As a result, I think the favorites in this game will finally pull away again. And so, of course, my tip is:
Leverkusen wins by at least two goals!
