ATP tournament in Stuttgart, quarter-finals, Friday, 13.06.2024
Struff has been extremely consistent in these weeks and months. The Warstein native, who has had another strong clay court season, has lost just four of his last 17 matches. He has only lost against players from the top 10.
He has brought his strong form with him on grass. In any case, he traditionally performs strongly at the Boss Open. Last year he reached the final of the 250 tournament. He wants to get there again this year, but first has to overcome the quarter-final hurdle.
In my Nakashima Struff prediction, I’m convinced that Struff will get the job done against the young American
Admittedly, almost all eyes are on the opening of the European Championships today. Germany will face Scotland in Munich. Around 200 kilometers away, the quarter-finals of the Boss Open are being played at the Weissenhof Tennis Club.
Right in the middle of it all is Germany’s number two Struff, who didn’t show any weakness in the first two rounds against Flavio Cobolli (7-6, 6-3) and Arthur Rinderknech (6-4, 7-6). Interestingly, Struff had to play a total of 58 points on his own serve for both victories.
The competition has not been able to do much damage so far, with Struff, who has not yet offered a single break opportunity, only conceding 19 and 14 percent of the points. He lays the foundation with his strong first serve, winning 29 of the 34 points against Rinderknech alone
He built up a lot of pressure on his opponents with his impeccable service games. Struff’s quarter-final opponent Nakashima is also unlikely to have much joy in his return game. But the 22-year-old is still without a set loss after defeating his compatriot Christopher Eubanks (7-6, 6-4) and Richard Gasquet (6-3, 6-4).
The man from San Diego also has a strong service record and has only conceded one break. Is the tie-break just a question of the set? The odds definitely suggest so. Winamax is offering 1.48 for a 7-6 in the match.
If you still need odds to combine for the European Championships, you’ve found them here. Struff goes into the match as the favorite at 1.36, a successful win bet on Nakashima triples the stake. Shortly after the market opened, over 300 Winamax users jumped on the Struff odds
At the moment I’m writing this, there isn’t a single person at the bookmaker, which is also one of the best bookmakers for the World Cup, who has chosen the Nakashima odds so far. For me personally, 1.36 is still too low. So I’ll add the first set for Struff on top for a 1.56.
A practical feature at Winamax is not only the fact that you can see what percentage of users choose which option for a market, but also that betting here is tax-free and new customers are welcomed with free betting credit of up to 100 euros. The amount is based on the deposit amount.
With a win rate of a meagre 42 percent, the statistics show that the green court is anything but Struff’s favorite surface. His fast serves are a weapon. At the same time, like many other great tennis players, he struggles with the low bouncing balls.
However, Struff is currently in very strong form. Nakashima also has a strong winning record, but has played in Challenger tournaments for long stretches, including in Surbiton last week, his first on grass this year, where he reached the semi-finals.
Apart from a success against Andrey Rublev in Barcelona, he has not been able to defeat any major rivals this year. And Struff? He has only lost to top 10 players since the end of February. His last defeat against a player below him in the world rankings was against Christopher O’Connell in Doha.
Will the streak against lower-ranked players be broken on Friday? I doubt it, given Struff’s current consistency. What’s more, a currently stumbling Gasquet has already won 29 percent of the return points against Nakashima, almost twice as many as Struff gave away against Rinderknech
My Nakashima Struff tip
Struff has conceded just one point in five in the still young grass court season, his opponents have not had a chance to break. Nakashima also marched steadily through the first rounds, even though he let his serve get away from him more than Struff.
The player from Warstein is in absolute top form and has only lost to players from the world’s elite since February, while Nakashima has only been able to set a few accents.
I see the German two ahead in the first encounter. Alternatively, a tiebreak bet at a slightly lower price is also an option.
My Nakashima Struff tip: Struff wins the first set & the match
