Real Madrid – FC Bayern betting tip
The black beast is coming! It’s been a few years since FC Bayern were one of the most feared teams in Spain. Real Madrid suffered a number of heavy defeats against the German record champions before the tide turned.
For some time now, it has been the other way around. When Bayern visit the Spanish capital on Wednesday, our Champions League tips are all about reaching the grand final.
In Munich, the 2-2 draw hardly indicated which team was the stronger. Real, of course, have the home advantage on their side, and it’s hard to explain why the club is so unbeatable in the top flight
It should therefore be a very difficult task for the visitors to prevail in this duel. The bookmakers also have their doubts, which leads to the question of whether the home side will progress being answered with an average of 1.45 to 2.55.
In my Real Madrid Bayern betting tip, I will therefore have a lot to analyze, because it may only be small things that decide in the end. In the end, I’m betting on a classic for this match and say: Goals will almost certainly be scored on both sides!
The bookmakers’ prediction
Will there be a winner after 90 minutes? Should it be Real Madrid, our sports betting providers are of the opinion that success looks good. As a result, the average odds are 1.85.
On the other hand, Bayern know that we are only the underdogs at the Bernabeu. The odds on FCB advancing alone are already 2.55, but if they win in regulation time, the value increases to 3.90.
A draw like in the first leg? That would lead straight to extra time. Three of the last four matches had no winner, so if this one is also very close, you would get odds of 4.00.
Analysis: Real Madrid vs Bayern
It’s just one game that will decide whether this 2023/24 season is a big disappointment or a crowning glory! FC Bayern are under enormous pressure on Wednesday and know how the clocks tick in Munich.
After being dismantled by Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga and failing to become champions for the first time since 2012 (even second place is not yet certain), FCB now only have the Champions League left
Real Madrid have been Munich’s nemesis for several years now, having not won in eight games. One thing is clear: the first leg also ended differently than desired.
Bayern got off to a brilliant start, but somehow still fell behind. After they quickly turned the game around, dominated and had chances to score a third or fourth goal, they had to realize: Real have exactly the coolness that we lack.
The Spaniards equalized with a penalty, but the 2:2 didn’t give anyone a real advantage. Just how close the most recent head-to-head encounters have been can be seen by looking at the direct comparison. 2:2, 2:2, 1:2, 2:4 n.V., 1:2, 0:4, 0:1, 4:3 n.E., 2:1, 2:1, 2:3, 0:1 and 1:1?
Analysis of odds
From a German perspective, I’m of course keeping my fingers crossed for FC Bayern, but unfortunately it’s not enough to be favorites. As ice-cold as Real are in the premier class, I can’t help but go for tip 1.
At the same time, as in the first leg, I expect it to be anything but boring. Whoever falls behind first will have to catch up immediately, which in turn will open up space for the other team. That’s why I say: over 2.5 goals sounds good.
The last two Real victories against FC Bayern? They were very close at 2:1. Exactly this result is also my absolute favorite regarding a result bet. The odds for this somewhat riskier bet: 8.75 at Happybet!
Can Bayern also win away?
This list paints a clear picture. The two almost always meet at eye level, and now that the away goals rule has disappeared, another draw on Wednesday would lead to extra time.
Bayern have not had the best of experiences with away games in this knockout round, losing 1-0 at Lazio Roma and 2-2 to Arsenal and only progressing in the round of 16 and quarter-finals thanks to home games.
For the first time since 2015/16, there could be three consecutive away defeats in the Champions League. Interesting to note: This season, they were knocked out in the semi-finals against Atletico Madrid – so the Spanish capital may not be a good place to be
Real simply too ripped off
Add to this the fact that Real are coached by Carlo Ancelotti. The star coach, who once worked briefly at the Isar himself, has not lost any of his nine games against Bayern in the Champions League!
After the 3-1 defeat against Stuttgart last Saturday, this is not the best news for FC Bayern, who also have to be careful with their personnel. Raphael Guerreiro was substituted with an injury and will definitely miss the game in Madrid.
Matthijs de Ligt was sorely missed in the first leg, but he should be back on Wednesday. Eric Dier suffered a laceration to his head in Stuttgart, but this does not jeopardize his participation
Jamal Musiala is also expected back. On the other side, we face a Real Madrid side that can call on all its stars apart from David Alaba. As soon as the Champions League anthem sounds, the Whites somehow seem to enter another world.
No matter how strong the opponent is, the Real legend strikes regularly. Malicious tongues would even say that Real themselves do not know how they survived the quarter-final against Manchester City.
In the end, it was not the better team that won, but the luckier one. 3:3 and 5:4 after penalties, the neutral fan in particular had a lot of fun. The Whites went on to defeat RB Leipzig in the round of 16
1:0 and 1:1, an actual goal conceded “disallowed” by the VAR, it was time to take a deep breath. Real are almost certain to win the Spanish championship, but of course now want the double.
Can the team even be eliminated in the round of the best four or is failure so close to the finish line actually out of the question? Let’s take a look at the last 13 years.
Madrid have NOT won the title eight times, six of which ended in the semi-finals! Twice they were eliminated after a draw, but both times against teams from the island
My Real Madrid Bayern tip:
Who will advance to the Champions League final on Wednesday? FC Bayern are aware of the difficult task at the Bernabeu, especially as they face the threat of a third away game in the knockout round without a win.
Real Madrid’s season has undoubtedly been the more solid, and the Whites are almost impossible to beat, especially at home. At least Bayern are bringing their star attack to the Spanish capital.
Based on my analysis, I assume that the two teams will be roughly on a par. Although I see Real slightly ahead, I still think I’m right with the following tip:
Both teams will score
