Real Madrid – Dortmund prediction Club World Cup, quarter-final on Saturday, 05.07.2025 at 22:00
There are exactly two fixtures in the quarter-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup that have a strong Champions League flavor!
One of these two prestigious duels in the tournament tree serves as the basis for my Real Madrid Dortmund prediction for what I hope will be a successful soccer bet.
I expect the Spaniards to prevail against BVB once again, as they did in the Champions League final a few years ago.
However, it won’t be plain sailing for Real! Borussia Dortmund are currently in top form and unbeaten in eleven games – in all competitions. Under coach Nico Kovač, the team is averaging an impressive 2.04 points per game.
Hold on to your hats: this is the second-best record for a BVB coach since 1957, with only Thomas Tuchel slightly ahead with 2.12 points per game. This shows how strong and consistent Dortmund are at the moment. Real Madrid will therefore need to be on their guard if they want to prevail against this confident opponent.
Real Madrid – Dortmund prediction & betting
I was really impressed in the round of 16 by the energy Real showed, especially in the second half against Juve.
Consequently, I have adjusted my betting recommendations for the quarter-final match against BVB accordingly: Real will win the second half, with odds of around 1.88.
I also think Real can win without conceding a goal, which has slightly higher odds of around 3.05. Both options offer really good value, especially when you consider Real’s power in the second half.
Real Madrid – Dortmund: Odds Analysis
I asked ChatGPT to generate a customized Real Madrid Dortmund AI prediction, which I will now subject to a rigorous reality check for you.
“Vinicius Junior to score” at odds of 3.25? That’s a strong recommendation, even for a supposed risky tip! In the last match against BVB, the Brazilian ended up scoring a hat trick.
However, I’m a bit torn on the “half-time/full-time 1/1” option for Real Madrid Dortmund odds of around 2.42.
On the one hand, Real Madrid could really turn it on in the second half and go on the offensive to win the game.
On the other hand, a goalless first half is also entirely conceivable. Real have proven in the past, for example in the game against Juventus, that they can play very cautiously and controlled at the beginning in order to conserve their energy in the warm temperatures.
The supposedly safe Real Madrid Dortmund tip on Real’s promotion in regular time at 1.62 seems “fair” to me.
In my estimation, there is actually an 80 percent chance that Alonso’s team will reach the semi-finals without extra time or penalty drama.
The best odds for Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
If you look at the Real Madrid Dortmund odds from various sports betting providers, one thing is immediately apparent: the favorite is clear.
With odds of 1.65 for a Real Madrid win, you have about a 60 percent chance that Los Blancos will win the game.
For a Dortmund win, on the other hand, the average odds are around 4.30 – that corresponds to a chance of just under 23 percent.
Borussia has potential, but it will definitely be a tough nut to crack against Real Madrid, especially in such a big game. Nevertheless, anything can happen in soccer, and that’s what makes betting so exciting!
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Real Madrid vs Dortmund match analysis:
When Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund meet, it’s not just a soccer game, it’s almost a small soccer festival.
History clearly favors the Spaniards: Of 16 encounters, the Royals have won a whopping 8, lost only 3, and 5 games ended in a draw.
Even more impressive: Real have won all of their last four games against Dortmund.
Their last defeat came almost a decade ago, in April 2014. That shows how much experience and class the Madrid side bring to such encounters.
However, the Madrid side will have to keep a close eye on one player in particular in the clash with Dortmund: striker Serhou Guirassy.
He leads the xGOT (expected goals on target) rankings with an impressive 5.00 – meaning he has had the most high-quality chances on goal.
At the same time, Guirassy is also the player who has missed the most big chances so far: a whopping seven! This shows that although he is constantly dangerous in front of goal, he often lacks the final touch.
For Real Madrid, this means: The defense must be particularly alert when he is around and not give him any space. Because once Guirassy finds his rhythm and takes his chances, he can cause real trouble.
A hot candidate who could have a decisive influence on the game with his goal-scoring instinct!
My tip: Real Madrid to win & Over 1.5 goals
