Zverev – Fearnley Tip Australian Open 1/17/2025

Australian Open in Melbourne, 3rd round, Friday, January 17, 2025, 3:30 a.m.

After the first round, Alexander Zverev also survived the second round of the Australian Open without any problems, as expected. He won against Pedro Martinez again in three sets and was again able to save himself the tiebreak. Is it going to continue like this?

Quite possible, after all, he has now also dealt with the weakness from game one. He still used too few of his numerous break chances. Nevertheless, the odds already indicate that the game against Jacob Fearnley should be at least a little more uncomfortable.

However, I see the world number 2 as having a clear advantage again for many reasons and therefore, after two successful Zverev bets in the first two rounds, I am opting for a straight 3-0 at Betano Sports Betting.

My sleep rhythm is now shot. Bundesliga in the evening and during the week, plus the NFL playoffs take place at night on the weekends – and then there’s the Australian Open, which stretches from night into the morning hours.

It is no longer possible to watch everything live. In the first two rounds, Zverev still played comfortably at 10:30 a.m., but that will change in round three. Instead of the night session, the German has been given a slot in the day session for the round of 16, serving at 3:30 a.m. German time.

So that means an alarm clock at the crack of dawn… but of course I won’t miss this match! According to the betting providers, it could be a bit more nerve-wracking for the German for the first time, who instead of a 1.01 or 1.02 this time gets a favorite’s odds of 1.08.

His opponent has been given 7.60 odds by the official sports betting partner of the Europa League and the Conference League. But first, let’s take a look at the man who finally wants to win his first Grand Slam title this year and is keeping himself entertained with numerous rounds of Mario Kart between the match days in Melbourne.

Pouille had beaten him in 2 hours and 22 minutes at the start and had made life difficult for himself by only using three of 18 break opportunities. By contrast, Zverev only needed 115 minutes against Martinez, who would love to play on clay all year round.

This time, he was able to take his opponent’s serve about every other time.

He had a shaky service game himself every now and then, but was ultimately able to fend off all six of his opponent’s chances – and is therefore still without a lost service game in Melbourne.

Despite all the developments in all areas, the serve is still the biggest weapon of the German, who only served eight aces against Martinez, but again presented an impressive rate of first serves. He only had to fumble the second ball out of his pocket every fourth time.

41 of the 54 points went to his account, twelve out of 19 were on the second offer. Ultimately, Zverev is also a strong return player, he won more points than Martinez himself on the Spaniard’s service!

His more courageous return position, which is much further forward than at the 2024 Australian Open, helps with this. This is only possible when he “feels confident with his shots,” he later explained about his more aggressive approach at the Eurosport microphone.

His backhand was never a problem, and we saw clear progress over the course of the year in his once shaky forehand, which is now another weapon for the German.

There was also no lack of creativity against Martinez, against whom he repeatedly had the right answer in numerous net attacks.

The real tests are yet to come, but in my eyes we are currently seeing the most complete Zverev, who is playing with a much weaker string this year due to the heavy balls from this season.

Given his current form and the fact that he has yet to lose a service game and also has a decent tiebreak record, the 3-0 at 1.65 is a strong quote and for me almost the only option in the match against Fearnley.

Now to the Brit: Fearnley became the party pooper of the Australians in the first round, as he took Nick Kyrgios out of the tournament in three sets. The tennis lout played one of his first matches after years of physical problems, moving poorly around the court. Except for a few spectacular winners, there was little resistance.

The match against the very agile and athletic Arthur Cazaux, who has, among other things, already trained with the French national handball team, was a different story. He also took the first set from him, but then made too many mistakes in his fast play.

Fearnley served solidly in both games, but he also conceded four breaks in the last round and gave up more than a third of his service points. His first serve is reliable, but he is quite far from Zverev’s standards in all respects.

Incidentally, this is the first encounter between the Olympic champion and the 23-year-old, who has mostly competed at the Challenger level so far. I don’t expect him to be able to seriously challenge the mature Zverev.

My Fearnley Zverev tip

So far, Zverev has not lost a single game on his serve and has secured two commanding victories against Pouille and Martinez. After an under-game bet and a 3-0 for Zverev without a tiebreak, this time I’m going for a clean 3-0 again for the man who is at the bottom of the tournament tree.

Kyrgios was no match for Fearnley after his injury and Cazaux has not really been able to play his way into the spotlight after his coup in Melbourne last year.

Zverev is a completely different proposition for the player, who mainly plays on the Challenger circuit and usually fails in the qualifiers at the bigger tournaments.

On average, Zverev has won about every second return point so far, has already had 31 break chances, and Fearnley is not a top server either. The Briton is therefore likely to have significantly more problems getting through his service games over the entire distance.

Therefore, my Fearnley Zverev betting tip is: 3:0 for Zverev!

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