Atalanta Bergamo – Liverpool betting tip
Klopp was served! That much is certain! His “Reds” may have won the game, but the pinpricks that the Bergamo side were able to make were enough to put the English side in an almost hopeless position on Thursday.
Experts across Germany are debating whether LFC can really be trusted to stage a historic comeback in the quarter-finals of the Europa League.
In my Atalanta Bergamo Liverpool betting tip, I have a very clear opinion: revenge yes, semi-final no.
In the course of my Atalanta Bergamo Liverpool prediction, I will put a stop to the hopes of the visiting fans for a comeback with various statistics that make it clear how unlikely a 0:4 or even higher result in favor of the Reds would be.
Starting with the fact that “La Dea” have only lost one of their 16 home games in the Europa League (10 wins, 5 draws).
Incidentally, this was a 2-0 defeat against RB Leipzig in the quarter-finals of the 2021/22 season
The bookmakers’ prediction
Due to the first leg result, the bookmakers in their Atalanta Bergamo Liverpool odds do not expect the Italians to storm forward, why should they?
Using the Interwetten app, you can find out that a win for the Reds is the most likely outcome of Thursday’s match with odds of around 1.70. But will this be high enough? But will this be high enough?
Another success for the Italians, on the other hand, promises an extremely high payout of around 4.00, although this has clearly been revised downwards compared to the first leg.
Analysis: Atalanta Bergamo vs Liverpool
Jürgen Klopp may have to accept the accusation that he underestimated the Italians to some extent last Thursday.
After all, his best players were initially on the bench and only came on when the baby had already fallen into the well.
In any case, the Bergamo side offered them very little in the way of attacking options over the 90 minutes to develop their dangerous attacking play. Giampiero Gasperini’s men always knew how to guard the critical areas in their own half of the pitch well enough
It is also unlikely that Liverpool will necessarily want to use their best players beyond the limits of exhaustion in the second leg. Klopp will bring in a few more regulars, but I don’t think he will put all his eggs in one basket.
For one thing, the deficit is enormous and for another, the Premier League is about the more important championship title, which the former Borussia Dortmund coach would still like to win before he leaves Anfield Road in the summer.
The fixture list remains challenging until Euro 2024, as a tricky trip to Fulham awaits his boys just three days after Atalanta
Quota analysis
It’s going to be turbulent because Liverpool will want to get on the ball from the start!
My preferred betting scenario for Thursday is for the Reds to go into the break with a lead – preferably 1-0 – only to make sluggish progress after the break.
But either way, my Atalanta Bergamo Liverpool prediction should work, because at generous odds of 2.50 I’m happy to accept the offer “Half-time/final score 2/2.”
Liverpool: It would be a chapter in soccer history
The hopes of LFC fans are at war with the annals of soccer. Because after the first leg, an England progression would be something that has never happened before!
In the history of the UEFA Cup/Europa League, there have been 132 cases in which the away team has lost the first leg of a knockout round consisting of a first and second leg by a margin of at least three goals.
However, such a deficit has never been made up in the subsequent second leg in such a way that it would have been possible to progress.
The “Reds” with a glimmer of hope
However, there are a few straws that are being held out to Liverpool and I will personally base my Atalanta Bergamo Liverpool prediction on them.
For example, the Reds won their last European Cup away game 5:1 at Sparta Prague.
However, the English side have not won two consecutive away games in the Europa League since the 2002/03 season, when they beat Vitesse and Auxerre in succession.
Meanwhile, the visiting fans can also take heart from the fact that their boys finally seem to be enjoying soccer as it is played south of the Alps again!
Liverpool have won three of their last four away games against Italian sides in all competitions, having managed just three wins in their first 14 visits to Italy (3 draws, 8 defeats).
However, their last visit ended in a 4-1 defeat to Napoli in September 2022.
It’s quite possible that Jürgen Klopp will start some of his better players from the beginning this time in order to have a halfway realistic – albeit small – chance of a historic comeback. For example, I expect Diogo Jota to start.
The Portuguese has scored nine goals in 12 UEFA Europa League appearances, although he has only started five of them.
He averages a goal every 64 minutes in the competition, which is the best rate of any player with at least five goals since the tournament began in 2009.
But that’s not all: the Liverpool FC striker also scored a hat-trick in his only previous European Cup away game against Atalanta in November 2020.
My Atlanta Liverpool tip:
It will be difficult to overturn the deficit from the first leg and I don’t think even Klopp is really convinced that he can still pull something off here.
Nevertheless, the Reds will start this second leg like a shot from a pistol and will be able to score many a goal before half-time.
But I very much doubt that the northern Italians, who are particularly ripped off at home, will actually let the butter off their bread when it comes to reaching the semi-finals
My tip: HT/FT 2/2
