Premier League, Sunday, 09.03.2025 at 15:00
The form curve is not particularly pleasing. But the Champions League is still within sight! Chelsea FC have set their sights high for the crucial weeks ahead, and a home win against the penultimate-placed team is of course firmly on the cards.
In my Chelsea Leicester betting tip, I’ll tell you why I’ve opted for a home win with a handicap (-1). Incidentally, I found the odds of 1.60 at Bet-at-home, where you can also benefit from the strong bonus as a new customer.
Chelsea have won three of their last eleven games, beating Southampton, Wolverhampton and West Ham, three clubs that are far down the table. Of course, the Blues are not happy with this, on the one hand.
On the other hand, the poor results have hardly had any effect on the table. They are currently fifth, but only two points behind third. The danger threatens from behind, because the differences are really minimal down to tenth place.
In this respect, the Londoners know that they can make it into the top flight, but they have to get out of their fickleness as quickly as possible. The last time they managed two wins in a row was at the beginning/mid-December, and that is exactly what they need to do again.
They haven’t won away from home since the beginning of December, so the fans should be very happy that Sunday’s kick-off will be at Stamford Bridge. They have lost once at home since matchday one and are currently on a run of three wins in a row.
4-0, 2-1, 3-1, 2-2, 1-2, 2-1, 3-0, 1-1 2-1? The latest results certainly promise that it won’t be boring here. Almost 3.2 goals are scored on average when Chelsea play at home.
Not since the 2012/13 season have the Blues lost twice to promoted teams in the same round. Having already lost 2-0 to Ipswich, a defeat against Leicester on Sunday should be out of the question.
14 different players have scored for Chelsea, only Arsenal FC (15) have more different goalscorers. They had a tough time against Leicester in the first leg, narrowly winning 2:1.
It was their fourth win in a row, with six of the last seven head-to-head encounters coming to a successful end. Nevertheless, it is interesting to note that they have not managed to defeat their opponents by a single goal in ten of their last twelve matches.
The last time they did not concede a goal in a home match against Leicester was in January 2018. The bet “Both teams to score” would, thematically fitting, make it to odds of 1.83 at Betano.
Speaking of odds, Chelsea are really favored to win the game on Sunday, with average odds of 1.20 to 12.0. But well, what Leicester are currently playing is really not worth mentioning.
The Foxes are second to last, have four wins to their name and have already lost 18 times – only bottom club Southampton have suffered more defeats (22).
The team has already spent 1,404 minutes in arrears, with only Southampton worse. The Foxes have even trailed by two goals after the first 45 minutes on eight occasions.
One goal of their own in the last 13 games in the first half? That doesn’t sound like an early starter. Leicester scored seven times before the break and 18 times in the second half.
On the other hand, they have only managed to go into half-time with a clean sheet eight times. Word has gotten around that you can only get odds of 1.34 for the bet “Chelsea to score in the first half”
But if you say that the Blues will score at least two goals, the odds at Betano rise to a profitable 2.50. Leicester have finished ten of their last twelve games goalless, with five 2-0 defeats since the end of December alone.
If you favor exactly this result, which is suitable for a win bet with a 0:1 handicap, you can look forward to odds of 7.60 in the Merkur Bets app. With 34 goals conceded, which is also important, the Foxes have the worst defense of all teams away from home.
A home game against Leicester should be no problem for Chelsea! The Foxes could be just the opponent the Blues need to finally get back into the series.
They have only lost twice at home anyway, beating the last two relegation candidates from Wolverhampton and Southampton with ease. For the visitors, it seems as if nobody really believes in the turnaround anymore.
Everything that can go wrong is going wrong and the defense is screwing things up, especially away from home. Since almost all defeats are now clear-cut, I’ve decided on a handicap and am betting:
Chelsea win by at least two goals
