La Liga, Sunday, 05.05.2024
Strictly speaking, there are three city derbies in beautiful Andalusia – in Sevilla, Granada and Malaga. However, I’m focusing on an interregional comparison between two neighbors who populate the same half of the La Liga table in 2023/24.
However, the similarities end there. According to my prediction, a Sevilla Granada bet without an additional condition on the “Rojiblancos” is worthwhile based on the facts alone. Especially as the away record of the visitors is simply subterranean …
Sevilla are also languishing in the second half of the table this season, but at least this time the issue of staying up seems to be off the table early on.
Just at the time when everyone in sunny Andalusia should have started to worry, coach Quique Sanches Flores made the necessary moves to get his team out of the danger zone.
The turnaround has been impressive: Sevilla have won three of their last four La Liga home games (1 draw) and celebrated more victories than in their previous 12 games at the venerable Ramon Sanche Pizjuan (2).
While we’re talking about Andalusian clubs, let’s take a look at the lower end of the table!
Three clubs from this sunny region could disappear from the Spanish top flight in one fell swoop this season: Cadiz, Granada and Almería.
Granada may have accepted the relegation battle and won two of their last three games, but they are still five points behind the relegation places …
Rescue is still theoretically possible, but everything must go smoothly for the “Nazaris” not only in Seville, but also on every other stage of the remaining program up to matchday 38.
The home win odds of currently around 1.65, which you will be confronted with at most sports betting providers these days, are also suitable as a promising, albeit less lucrative individual bet.
Although the “Rojiblancos” have not exactly been able to delight their fans this season, they usually excel in neighborhood duels.
Sevilla FC have lost just one of their last 12 Andalusian derbies (6 wins, 6 draws)
The situation is completely different for their upcoming opponents, who would rather avoid heated soccer battles in this sunny region of Spain against rival neighboring clubs.
In any case, it is immediately apparent that Granada have only won one of their last 11 La Liga games against Andalusian clubs – and that was only against basement club Cadiz in January of this year.
Of course, this less-than-inspiring record is also reflected in the direct comparison with Sevilla. FCS have won six of the last eight meetings against the “Nazaris.”
An interesting statistical feature that gives my Sevilla Granada betting tip a boost is also mentioned here.
This is because Sevilla FC’s highest home win rate against a single club that has honored the team at least 10 times in LaLiga is against their upcoming opponents!
81.2% is the exact FCS success rate from the 22 visits to Granada FC so far, almost all of which were doomed to failure from the relegation candidates’ point of view (2 wins, 2 draws, 18 defeats)
However, I wouldn’t want to push my luck here with the Betway app.
Due to a lack of promising alternatives, I would therefore advise you to place a simple home win bet, true to the motto: better safe than sorry!
Because if you’re thinking of increasing the odds a little with an obvious additional condition, you should know that Sevilla have only won 3 of their 16 LaLiga home games at home according to the “1/1” pattern
Granada is also not a team you want to bet your money on, believe me. At least not after you’ve had a look at the current away table.
After almost all teams in the league have played at least 17 away games, Cadiz and Granada are the only two clubs in the league still waiting for their first away win.
But even in this ranking, Granada are only half as good as Cadiz, who have picked up six points.
The Nazaris’ exact record reads like a nightmare made flesh, with just three points scored away from home: 3 draws, 13 defeats.
And the 35 goals conceded in the process are second to none in the league, not even bottom-placed Almeria (34).
So if Granada end up getting relegated, you’ll know exactly why
Conclusion: The upcoming clash between Sevilla and Granada promises pure excitement. Sevilla, known for their home strength and passion in Andalusian derbies, will have an impressive atmosphere behind them.
Granada, on the other hand, have yet to win away from home this season and face a huge challenge. The question is whether the team can stand up to the toughness of the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Stadium.
For my part, I doubt it, but I don’t want to venture any further out with my soccer betting than a simple Sevilla Granada tip, which envisages an easy home win for the Rojiblancos.
My tip: Sieve Sevilla
