La Liga, Saturday, 11.01.2025 at 21:00
Two of the Primera Division’s former top clubs will battle it out to stay in the league – and on Saturday they will go head-to-head. We’re talking about Sevilla and Valencia. The team from the Mediterranean coast in particular is trembling, in 19th place with just two wins.
It was therefore almost logical that the coach was replaced over the Christmas period. Will Carlos Corberan now be able to secure their first away win? Under his leadership, the team almost pulled off a coup against Real Madrid. In any case, the team has improved
Valencia are said to have paid West Bromwich Albion three million euros to land Corberan as head coach. This was made possible by an exit clause in the Spaniard’s contract with the English second division club.
As he had already done for Huddersfield, he spent over 100 games on the touchline. Will he now be Valencia’s savior? With just two wins from 18 games, Los Ches have recorded the fewest trebles to date.
The new coach’s first match was against Real Madrid, where the six-time champions held on to a 1-0 lead until the 85th minute, but then the mentally strong capital side struck twice.
A heavy blow after a strong fight. The year 2025 started with a victory in the Copa del Rey, a 2:0 win against Eldense. Now the first away game in the league under the new team management awaits.
So far, Valencia are still without a win away from home. At 3.70, the odds for a win against Sevilla are quite high, Sevilla have 2.00 at home, with a draw (3.50) in between in the Merkur Bets app.
I don’t really agree with the odds. I think it’s much more balanced, which is why I not only see value at 1.75 for the double chance X2, but also for the bet that the visitors will score at least one goal.
After all, the 19th-placed team has always scored in its last four competitive matches, not least against the Whites. In addition, Sevilla have not made a stable impression in recent weeks.
3:4 against Atletico, 2:4 against Real Madrid, but Almeria also scored four times in a 4:1 win in the Copa del Rey. In the meantime, they managed a 1-0 win against Celta Vigo. Nevertheless, we are talking about twelve goals conceded in the last four competitive matches.
In the last six matches, the Europa League record winners have only kept a clean sheet once. I therefore doubt that they will keep a clean sheet against a team that is currently on the upswing, even though Valencia have scored just four goals on the road.
Especially as Valencia have already been looking around the transfer market during the winter break to strengthen their attack. Center forward Umar Sadiq was signed on loan from Real Sociedad. He already got his first minutes in the cup in the second round.
In addition, Sevilla are one of the more vulnerable defenses in the league with 72 shots on goal. Both in this category and in terms of goals conceded, they rank seventh.
And Sevilla also got off lucky with a 1-0 win against Celta Vigo. Due to these vulnerabilities, I expect a not-so-passive approach from the visitors, who have conceded the fourth-fewest goals in the league.
Valencia have not kept a clean sheet in nine league games in a row, which is why a goal from both teams at odds just above the 2.00 mark is a hot option at Sportwetten.de.
The bookmaker also offers a lucrative 100 percent new customer bonus, which you can use to claim up to 100 euros in extra credit. The bookie also has a German license and enables fast deposits and withdrawals via PayPal. The betting selection is very large.
On each of the last three trips to Sevilla FC, the visitors were able to celebrate a goal, which also confirms my bet. Valencia have also only lost one of those three games.
However, the teams drew goalless in the second leg in 2023/2024. Valencia were clearly the stronger team here, conceding 14 goals to 1 after 90 minutes.
Conclusion: Sevilla have had some problems in defense recently, conceding four goals in three of their last four matches and only one of their last six games without conceding a goal. And Valencia?
VCF almost beat Real in the first game under the new head coach and put in a good performance against second-division side Eldense in the cup to start the year. The team has also strengthened its offense on the transfer market.
Even if it might not be the first away win, a point is definitely possible. In any case, I expect the visitors to score at least one goal.
My Sevilla Valencia tip: Valencia to score
